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1  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: French Presidential election 2017 - 2nd Round on: October 20, 2016, 12:24:58 am
2  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Favorite Center Right or Conservative leader(1980s-1990s edition) on: October 18, 2016, 09:53:04 pm
Ronald Reagan
Margaret Thatcher
Brian Mulroney
John Howard
Vaclav Klaus

Honourable mentions to Jacques Chirac and George H.W. Bush
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: 2020 Primary Poll for Atlas Republicans on: October 17, 2016, 01:50:48 am
Can't vote (obviously), but Amash, Cruz, Cotton and Haley are up there, and I'd vote for any of them barring Walsh.
4  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Who would you rather have had as President-for-life? on: October 14, 2016, 10:35:02 pm
Reagan (he'd likely resign around 1992, and Bush Senior would take over).

Historically, Coolidge, Cleveland, Washington, and Van Buren would be up there for me too, for their respective eras.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: "Who would fictional characters vote for?" omnibus thread on: October 14, 2016, 08:58:46 pm
In the run up to Australia Day, here's Kingswood Country, originally on Australian TV from 1980-84:

Ted Bullpitt - A working class employee at a putty factory, generally Liberal, although would have supported One Nation in 1998 (this being said, Ted was more the type to dislike anyone and anything, rather than an Archie Bunker or Alf Garnett type).  I think Ted would have voted for Katter's Australian Party in 2013, to "bring back the Kingswood".
Thelma Bullpitt - Ted's wife, I'd say a swing voter, probably sneakily (as in not telling Ted) supported Labor in 1972, when Whitlam came into power.
Greta Bertolucci (nee Bullpitt) - Ted & Thelma's daughter, most likely Labor, both at the time and now, given her progressivism.
Craig Bullpitt - Ted & Thelma's son, a medical student, probably Labor at the time, and the Democrats in the Senate. May be a Greens voter now.
Bruno Bertolucci - Greta's husband, Labor , for similar reasons to his wife, and also because of his ethnicity (Italian) and religion (Catholicism).
Bob Bullpitt - Ted's brother, a used car salesman from Brisbane, most likely voted Liberal, This being said, Bob probably voted for the Nationals at the state level in the 1980s, and was probably tempted by Palmer United in 2013.
Merle Bullpitt - Bob's upwardly mobile wife, I'd think she'd be straight-ticket Liberal at both federal and state levels.

To update this, in the wake of the passing of Ross Higgins (Ted Bullpitt), having re-watched a good number of episodes, while Ted was conservative, and had a profound dislike of Whitlam, Hawke, and Al Grassby, he was very anti-politician in general (he disses then-PM Fraser and then Treasurer John Howard in numerous episodes). In 2016, he'd probably vote One Nation again.
6  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Witney by-election, 2016 on: October 13, 2016, 02:10:03 am
A blatantly obvious vote for Courts (Tory). Especially assuming the UKIPper is a Faragite, not a Carswellite.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which states would Meltdown Trump win? on: October 13, 2016, 12:07:52 am

Who wins the green states in this scenario? McMullin?
8  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Evan McMullin on: October 12, 2016, 10:25:04 pm
FF, my favourite of this election's candidates. Pity he won't do that well Sad
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which states would Meltdown Trump win? on: October 09, 2016, 10:30:14 am
These would be the "Titanium R" states.

Why ND over KS?

Kansas polls have been decently close and their governor is very unpopular. North Dakota received an influx of conservatives and became more conservative thanks to the oil boom

I knew Brownback was unpopular, but I didn't think the presidential polls would be close in KS (I've been turned off a LOT this race)
10  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Hypothetical Austrian constitutional referendum, 2016 on: October 09, 2016, 10:26:07 am
Habsburg restoration for sure (normal, make Austria great again, etc.)
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which states would Meltdown Trump win? on: October 09, 2016, 09:31:27 am
These would be the "Titanium R" states.

Why ND over KS?
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will win PA and why? on: October 09, 2016, 09:28:35 am
Clinton, although not that strongly.
13  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: What is the biggest city you've never heard of? (EU Edition) on: October 04, 2016, 07:33:37 pm
32. Zaragoza

This said, I've heard of plenty of cities below that one, including Wakefield, Utrecht and Malmö.
14  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Longest serving current senators: Your least favorite on: October 04, 2016, 03:39:05 am
15  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: What is the biggest city you've never heard of? on: October 02, 2016, 10:36:30 am

I've heard of plenty of the cities below Stockton, though.

16  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Rank American and British Leaders in last 35 years on: September 29, 2016, 10:56:51 pm
Including May:

1. Reagan
2. Thatcher
3. May
4. Bush Sr.
5. Cameron
6. Major
7. Bush Jr.
8. Clinton
9. Blair
10. Brown
11. Obama
17  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: name an area and describe the most prevalent ideology on: September 28, 2016, 02:28:53 am

City of Melville (South)

Heading east on the Canning and Leach Highways out of Fremantle, you enter the City of Melville. Unlike the port directly to its west, Melville, for the most part, is conservative middle class to upper-middle class suburbia. The City of Melville is based on the southern bank of the Swan River, western bank of the Canning River, and north of the chain of lakes around Bibra Lake.

West Meville (around Melville itself)

In the west, the suburb of Bicton votes 60%+ Liberal after preferences, has long been a desirable riverside area, and is home to the Point Walter reserve and golf course. Neighbouring Attadale and Alfred Cove are even more Liberal voting, around 70%. Palmyra, to Bicton’s south, is more like East Fremantle/Fremantle, Labor-leaning with a decent Green vote, Willagee, home to the Birnie murders of the 1980s, was developed as a state housing project, but has gentrified somewhat, and only mildly voted Labor at the last state and federal elections, although is still way more Labor than most of Melville. Former Premier Alan Carpenter represented Willagee, along with areas to its south.

Melville and Myaree, the latter of which is a light industrial area, have a slight Liberal tinge (generally, closer to the river = higher Liberal vote), while Kardinya, in the southwest corner of Melville, is a large suburb, and has both Labor and Liberal-leaning ends.

Garden City (northeastern corner of the city)

North of the Leach Highway, and around the meeting of the Swan and Canning Rivers, are a number of middle to upper-middle class suburbs. One of the focal points is the Garden City shopping centre, the premier shopping centre in the southern suburbs, near the Wireless Hill reserve, which is both an Aboriginal historic site, and an early radio transmission site in Perth, dating back to the 1910s.

This area, containing the suburbs of Booragoon, Alfred Cove, Ardross, Mount Pleasant and Brentwood votes 65-75% Liberal (highest in the northeast around Applecross), and that’s unlikely to change any time soon.

Southeastern Melville

The rest of Melville, around Murdoch University, east of Kardinya and Willagee, and south of Leach Highway, is a solid Liberal voting area, although not as solid as the Garden City area of Melville. Murdoch is home to the university of the same name, and a major hospital, its little residential area is similar to the middle class suburbs of Winthrop and Bateman, voting low to mid 60s for the Liberals. The Winthrop area has a large percentage of people with Chinese and other Asian ancestries (notably Malay and Singaporean). Hopping over to the eastern side the Kwinana Freeway, are the suburbs of Bull Creek and Leeming, which are also middle-class, low-high 60s Liberal voting areas, with significant Asian communities.

Overall - Solid Liberal, with some Labor-leaning areas closer to Fremantle, and an independent streak in the City’s north. This is evident by an independent holding the state seat of Alfred Cove, covering much of the City’s affluent riverside suburbs, from 2001 to 2013.

City of Cockburn (South)

South of Fremantle and Melville is the City of Cockburn, which covers much of the geographic area of the federal Division of Fremantle. Cockburn takes its name from Cockburn Sound, an oceanside inlet named after Admiral Sir George Cockburn. Cockburn is known for its string of lakes and wetlands (notably Bibra Lake and Thomsons Lake), running north-south through the council, its history of market gardening and industry, and today is still home to major industry in the south of the City, and is one of Perth’s major residential growth areas.

I’ll divide the Cockburn the area into two for this assessment, using the lakes as a natural barrier. The suburbs east of the lakes, are for the most part, newer areas than those west of the lakes.

West Cockburn (Spearwood-Beeliar)

In Cockburn’s north, away from the coast, are the former market gardening and farming suburbs Spearwood, Hamilton Hill and Coolbellup. Spearwood, closest to the coast, is home to the heart of Perth’s Croatian community, and is also home to a significant population with Italian ancestry. Spearwood’s working-class, Southern-European tinged demographics return a Labor vote around 60%, and I can’t see the Liberals winning this area for the foreseeable future. Hamilton Hill is safer for Labor, pushing up to around 70% for them on a good day, while regenerated and less Mediterranean Coolbellup, built as state housing post-World War II, regularly returns Labor votes over 70%.

On the coast, the suburbs of Coogee and Munster are some of the better Liberal areas in Cockburn, returning Liberal votes in the low 50s. With a recently-built marina in North Coogee, a lot of the area has sprung up in the past decade or so, residential development only really began here in the 1980s, with some scattered rural lots and houses prior to then.

Southern areas of coastal Cockburn, around Henderson, are major industrial areas, including the Cockburn Cement works. Moving back north, to the southeast of the Spearwood area, and due east of Coogee, are the suburbs of Yangebup and Beeliar. Yangebup has two distinct areas, one developed in the 1970s and 1980s, and a much newer area. Yangebup is dominated by its older end, which has a less affluent demographic, and votes 60-65% Labor. Beeliar, on the other hand, was built from the 1990s onwards, much of it since 2000, and is around 10% weaker for Labor than Yangebup.

East Cockburn and the Lakes (Bibra Lake-Atwell)

Crossing over to the eastern side of the lakes, are the Lake suburbs – North, Bibra and South Lake. While North Lake and Bibra Lake straddle the divide, so to speak, the residential areas of both suburbs are largely on the eastern shores, so they have been included in this section.

North Lake’s residential areas are two small areas either side of the lake, which are similar to Coolbellup/Murdoch (in Melville) respectively, on the west and east. Bibra Lake straddles across the large lake of the same name, on the west is a major industrial and commercial area, and Perth’s major theme park, Adventure World, while its residential area has a slight Labor tinge – mid-high 50s after preferences. South Lake, like Yangebup, has two distinct ends – the older end, developed in the 1980s, is a strong Labor (65% or so) area with a relatively high Aboriginal population, while the new end is a swing area, much like those closer to Cockburn Central train station. The small residential area of Jandakot, location of Jandakot Airport, is nearby here, and would have a slight Labor lean, given its demographics (similarity to Bibra Lake).

To the south of South Lake is Cockburn Central – a new hub for the City of Cockburn (despite its name, Spearwood is where the council chamber is located). Cockburn Central contains the area’s major shopping and entertainment providers, along with Cockburn Central train station, centred in the freeway median.

Cockburn Central, named only nine years ago, was built in part to serve the suburbs of Success and Hammond Park to the west of the railway/freeway, and Atwell and Aubin Grove to their east. Rural until around 1990, these suburbs have largely been built this century, large portions this decade, and tend to be swing suburbs full of young families with large mortgages, mortgage belt suburbs as they’re known in Australian politics – Labor and the Liberals are often a few points within each other here, the Liberals do better east of the freeway, Atwell sometimes votes 60% Liberal on a good day for them.

Overall - Labor leaning, around the high 50s/low 60s across the whole city, although the Liberals have a couple of decent areas, and hold the state seat of Jandakot, which takes up all of Cockburn east of the freeway, plus areas around North Lake.

Coming In Part 4 - The Outer South
18  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: name an area and describe the most prevalent ideology on: September 28, 2016, 01:36:43 am
Part 3 of Perth, Australia is here!


In this analysis, I will be covering the councils south of the Swan River, (generally) west of the Canning River, and north of the Kwinana industrial hub. Namely, the Cities of Fremantle, Melville and Cockburn, and the Town of East Fremantle.

City of Fremantle (South, with a small part in the North)

Heading south out of the Golden Triangle, you'll find yourself in North Fremantle, which barely votes Liberal unlike its northern neighbours, home of the North Quay of Fremantle Harbour. Fremantle, named after English captain Charles Fremantle, is often known as Freo by locals, was first settled in 1829 (indeed, was the first area in the Perth Metropolitan Area to be settled), became a city in 1929, and has long been Perth’s major port, situated at the mouth of the Swan River. Between 1850 and 1868 (when convict transportation ended), Fremantle was WA’s receiver of convicts from the UK, and really came into being as a port in the late 19th and early 20th centuries.

Fremantle itself is the best area in metropolitan Perth for the Greens – Long a Labor stronghold (Labor win, even on their worst days, by around 65% at least after preferences), courtesy of its port city heritage, working class (historically, still true for areas away from central Fremantle), and young, progressive (now) demographics and hub for post-World War II immigrants, the Greens have become a major challenge to Labor’s former iron-grip on Fremantle – they won a state by-election in 2009, although lost the seat back to Labor at the 2013 election (google Adele Carles for more information). Fremantle, particularly since the 1970s, has long been a hub for leftists, artists, hipsters, social justice warriors, and people living alternative lifestyles, and in much of the council, the Greens outpoll the Liberals. An example of Fremantle’s left-leaningness is the recent decision by Fremantle city council to abolish the Australia Day fireworks, citing sensitivity amongst Aboriginal people.

Away from central Fremantle are, in a counter-clockwise direction, the suburbs of South Fremantle, Beaconsfield, Hilton, Samson and White Gum Valley. South Fremantle is an extension of Fremantle, with the southern areas more in line with Hamilton Hill and Spearwood (in the city of Cockburn), the Greens outpoll the Liberals, Beaconsfield is a bit more Liberal-leaning, Hilton was a post-World War II state housing development, and has since adopted the overall Fremantle feel so to speak, with the Greens polling a whopping 36% in 2016. Samson is more like Cockburn and Melville cities to the south and east respectively, and is more of a regular everyday suburb, voting high 50s for Labor after preferences, and a much lower Green vote than anywhere else in Fremantle council. White Gum Valley is similar to Hilton.

Overall - Solid Labor (65%+ 2PP), although if WA had political parties at the local government level, the Greens would likely have controlled the council at least once by now.

Town of East Fremantle (South)

The only Fremantle-area suburb to not be in the City of Fremantle, the Town of East Fremantle was largely agricultural until around 1890, when houses began to be built for workers in Fremantle, and in the 1940s and 1950s, further development occurred with the post-war population boom. Around 10% of East Fremantle residents have Italian ancestry. Generally speaking, the houses away from the river are the older, workers' cottages, while the newer areas closer to the river are more like the City of Melville to the east - namely larger houses, especially along the river.

Overall - Very balanced between the 60% Liberal-voting riverfront, and 60% Labor-voting areas away from the river. Would be a key swing council, if Perth's councils were part of an electoral college.
19  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Batley and Spen by election, 2016 on: September 24, 2016, 07:27:10 pm
20  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Russian Legislative Election 2016 on: September 23, 2016, 08:41:36 am
Civic Platform.
21  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Jeb Bush vs. Jill Stein - who would you support? on: September 20, 2016, 08:12:19 pm
Jeb, without a second thought whatsoever.
22  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you stand for the Pledge of Allegiance/National Anthem? on: September 18, 2016, 11:48:20 pm
Always, and with a hand over my heart. Not American, but would also do so for Pledge of Allegiance.
23  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: 1968 Republican primary on: September 17, 2016, 11:05:43 am
Reagan, obviously.
24  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Enoch Powell vs. Donald Trump on: September 11, 2016, 11:30:21 pm
Not a fan of either... Powell, despite being horribly racist/xenophobic (I'd have voted Liberal against him), had some good ideas (especially on the economy and his stand against a European super state, and he was a Unionist in Northern Ireland as well).

Voting Powell.
25  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Tim Kaine vs. Mike Pence on: September 11, 2016, 11:24:48 pm
Pence (McMullin/Castle/Johnson supporter in that order)
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