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Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Romney is a failure...and Ryan is not happy
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on: October 01, 2012, 07:34:54 pm
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The only way you could view 2004 Bush and Dole in 1996 as 'not conservative' is if you view governing in any proactive way at all as inherently not conservative Big government conservatism is bit oxymoronic. Nonsense. and believe conservatism should be a lifestyle choice rather than a political ideology.
This part is utter nonsense. No Child Left Behind, the massive expansions of Medicare, and support for amnesty are political positions, not "lifestyle choices." You missed my point. What I meant was that many right-wingers these days feel that, to be a conservative, you must "act" like a conservative in virtually every aspect of your life, or you're a traitor to the cause. You're not allowed to like gay people, ever. You're not allowed to respect your political opponents. You're not allowed to have any centrist or left-wing position on any issue ever. You're not allowed to compromise at any point. You seem to be suggesting that to be a "real" conservative you A) Can't proactively govern in any respect, and B) Must act like a cartoon caricature of a conservative. Please Google Tammy Bruce
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Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Which state is Mitt Romney more likely to carry?
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on: September 07, 2012, 06:11:48 pm
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Wisconsin.
Now, I'm rooting for Romney, but really, I think the big four are FL, NC, VA, OH. A quick-and-dirty analysis on 270towin.com shows: With a "southern split" of those states (FL, NC to Romney; OH, VA to Obama), Romney has to win all of the western battleground states, plus a couple of the big left-leaning northern states (though Michigan alone would do it at that point)
With a "northern split" (FL, NC to Obama; OH, VA to Romney) it becomes even more complicated, as Romney must now win two of the big northern states (WI, MI, PA, NH). None of these states by them selves will do it. Obama is unlikely to win North Carolina this time around.
With a "central split" (FL, OH to Romney; VA, NC to Obama), adding the western battlegrounds plus either MI or PA would do it, while the west plus NH or WI could put it close enough to prompt an Obama concession.
Obviously, I'd rather not see a split at all--I'd rather have Romney take all four and one other state, and that's not unlikely. But personally, my money is on Obama winning only VA out of the big four. The west has a lot of Mormons, and Romney has been consistently ahead in NC, while Ryan's Medicare plan is gaining traction with FL seniors. OH is still to close to call IMO.
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