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November 26, 2014, 01:33:27 pm
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Victorian State Parliamentary Election - 29 November 2014 on: November 23, 2014, 07:47:30 am
ALP will win popular vote like 53/47 but lose in seats or a minority government.
2  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: AK's Australian Election Series - 1992 Referendum on: November 21, 2014, 03:46:43 am
If it got 50% of the vote it'd be safe to assume it didn't get a majority of states and therefore failed... no?
3  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Andrew Cuomo vs Strom Thurmond on: November 21, 2014, 03:41:59 am
At least Thurmond  believed what he stood for.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Victorian State Parliamentary Election - 29 November 2014 on: November 19, 2014, 07:31:54 pm
Some of the ads this election are just ridiculous and downright insulting to our intelligence. I mean a Coalition ad literally called in a Labor CMFEU Coaltion if Labor is elected. Like, just the dumbest attack and the sad thing is it'll probably stick with some voters. Also, the focus on abortion this election is scary despite the high level approval of our laws.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: My current (11/2014) electoral college map (Hillary vs Generic Republican) on: November 18, 2014, 09:45:18 am
I would move Missouri from Lean R to Likely R, Louisiana & Kentucky from Likely R to Safe R, NE-2 from Likely R to Lean R, and Florida from Lean D to Toss-Up.

You obviously haven't seen the Florida polls...
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2014 a GOP R+6 election on: November 17, 2014, 04:25:33 am
ing embarrassing for America, 125 million people voted in 2012.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Australian Federal Redistribution 2016 on: November 16, 2014, 03:04:40 am
They should abolish Warringah. Smiley
8  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of the first-past-the-post voting system on: November 15, 2014, 07:30:34 pm
I don't get why people hate it so much.

It isn't an accurate representation of the voters wishes.
9  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Where should I move? on: November 15, 2014, 12:49:14 am
I am absolutely infuriated with Connecticut. I have narrowed down where I want to live when I am fully on my own to a few places, each with their own strengths and weaknesses. I can't make my mind up, so I want your input. I am thinking of things like taxes, weather (love snow), overall cost of living, government involvement, etc.

Wouldn't it be better to move to a state with higher job creation rates?
10  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of the first-past-the-post voting system on: November 14, 2014, 09:23:33 pm
Preferential >>>
11  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Tony Abbott? on: November 14, 2014, 09:22:47 pm
A ing moron.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Victorian State Parliamentary Election - 29 November 2014 on: November 13, 2014, 08:10:55 pm
Labor up to 56% in most recent Ipsos poll. Incredible thing out of the poll though is the 76% support for Euthanasia, lol  you Kevin Andrews.
13  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Hillary Clinton on: November 13, 2014, 09:46:25 am
I still am perplexed at how people STILL use Iraq against her.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Paul: Unclear if Clinton can handle "rigorous physical ordeal" of 2016 campaign on: November 13, 2014, 09:40:57 am
Rand Paul should have watched this week's episode of Survivor, being a dick to women generally does not bode well, especially if you need their votes to succeed.

Lol, completely broke that alliance all because the guys were rude to the women.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Australian Federal Redistribution 2016 on: November 13, 2014, 06:36:05 am
If there is any God they will redistrict me out of Kevin Andrews seat.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Victorian State Parliamentary Election - 29 November 2014 on: November 13, 2014, 04:24:29 am
Well Dennis Napthine is preferencing Labor ahead of the Greens, this is pretty big if the Greens wanted to win those seats. It'll be close but I do think the Greens could win but its very unlikely.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Victorian State Parliamentary Election - 29 November 2014 on: November 12, 2014, 05:22:02 pm
Glad to see that my thread got revived! Cheesy

It's fascinating to observe the trends in Australia over the past several years: you start out in 2008 with Labor in control of the federal government and every state/territory gov't as well.  That slowly whittles away to what we have now with a Coalition calling the shots federally and only a minority Labor gov't in SA and the ACT.  If Labor is able to win in Victoria could this be the beginning of another sea change?

There's definately a move against the Liberals atm. I almost always happens, I mean following Howard almost every state government from Howard to Rudd was a Labor one. But if the Vic Libs lose it'll be pretty historic considering no state government has not had a second term since like the 50s. But it'll be there own fault, they're pretty useless and got almost nothing done in 2010-2012.
18  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Favorite #1 hit by Mariah Carey on: November 11, 2014, 07:31:36 pm
Fantasy.
Fantasy.
Fantasy.
Fantasy.

One of the greatest songs ever, but they're all brilliant.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rand Paul on ISIS response: 'This war is now illegal' on: November 11, 2014, 07:30:23 pm
He is right, every war we've been in since Vietnam is been illegal.  Only congress and declare war, and they have not done so yet.

That's if you describe this as war.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Victorian State Parliamentary Election - 29 November 2014 on: November 11, 2014, 07:23:51 pm
ugh, last day to vote and over 200 000 remain unregistered. We really need to adopt same day registration.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rand Paul on ISIS response: 'This war is now illegal' on: November 11, 2014, 07:00:22 pm
Well an agreement to support democracy in the region therefore justifies Obama's decision to make military action without the consent of congress. It's in the 'national interest'. Plus Obama could just as easily justify his choice under R2P.
Do you not understand the concept of "illegality?" This has nothing to do with whether we have a "responsibility" to drop democracy on Iraq from fighter jets, protect some nebulous "national interest" millions of miles from our shores, or adhere to some abstract concept invented by the UN. You just keep bringing up random arguments that have nothing to do with what Paul is claiming: That Obama's conduct of the war violates the domestic law of the United States. Even if Obama's bombing campaign is in our "national interest" (whatever that is) or conforms to the meaningless ideals of UN bureaucrats, those things have no relevance whatsoever to whether or not his actions violate the War Powers Act (which they objectively do).

Just admit you believe that President has unlimited military authority and the WPA is meaningless (as Lief and Bedstuy have) instead of bringing up random stuff that has nothing to do with the President's authority under domestic law.

I'm just saying Paul's argument is futile because you can justify any action because at the end of the day the President is the Commander in Chief and Congress has no authority over the military.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Victorian State Parliamentary Election - 29 November 2014 on: November 11, 2014, 09:22:23 am
Victorian State Election: Greens lead in inner city seats, new poll says

November 7, 2014
Richard Willingham and Henrietta Cook


Quote
The Greens are poised to seize two inner city seats from the ALP at this month's state election, a new poll suggests.

A Lonergan research poll, commissioned by the Greens, shows the party is on track to win its first lower house seats in Victoria, leading Labor in both Melbourne and Richmond.

The news comes as Labor Leader Daniel Andrews rejected a preference deal offer from the Greens.

The deal would have seen the minor party preference Labor number two in all but a few lower house seats. In exchange, Labor would preference the Greens number two in all eight upper house regions.

Mr Andrews said he turned down the deal because he wanted to end the instability and chaos that had plagued Victorian politics.

"No deal will be offered and no deal will be done because the last thing I am ever going to sign up to is an unstable, minority government," Mr Andrews said while campaigning near Wangaratta.


Read more

I doubt the Greens win these, considering only half have made up their mind and the majority want to see the ALP actually form government. But, you never know. I hope the ALP wins these because the Greens are just the worst.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Victorian State Parliamentary Election - 29 November 2014 on: November 11, 2014, 09:18:42 am
Looks like Geoff Shaw is going to preference the Liberals. It's kind of ridiculous that he could end up retaining his seats, surely those in Frankston aren't that dumb.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rand Paul on ISIS response: 'This war is now illegal' on: November 11, 2014, 03:22:14 am
Uh, the President doesn't need authority to commit troops.
So..what military action do you think WOULD require the consent of Congress?

A declaration of war. What the US is carrying out against ISIS isn't war, it's protecting an ally from terrorism.

ISIS is a rebel/insurgent army. No matter how much cruelty the insurgents use an insurgency isn't an act of terrorism. Fighting a mass insurgency is war.


Not really, especially if it falls under meeting the terms on an alliance.
What alliance?  When did we sign, let alone ratify a treaty making us and Iraq allies?

Well an agreement to support democracy in the region therefore justifies Obama's decision to make military action without the consent of congress. It's in the 'national interest'. Plus Obama could just as easily justify his choice under R2P.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rand Paul on ISIS response: 'This war is now illegal' on: November 10, 2014, 10:48:33 pm
All this "war" and "constitutional" business and what have you is all completely besides the point. Unless we're talking about a full fledged invasion of a sovereign state, then the President gets to do whatever he wants when it comes to military operations. If the commander in chief wants to deploy a small amount of troops or planes or ships to defend American interests, he can do that, especially when we already have military forces operating in the immediate region. That's the way it's always been and that's the way it always will be.

Basically this.
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