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July 30, 2014, 02:07:45 am
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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 1 
 on: Today at 02:03:47 am 
Started by VP windjammer - Last post by Mr. Morden
Ah, memories:

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=70670.0

I wonder if the new Christian BRTD would recant his earlier position on this.  Is banning polls from the database something that Christ would do, or would he accept all polls as his brothers and sisters?


 2 
 on: Today at 01:58:35 am 
Started by TheHawk - Last post by TheHawk
Let's just say the GOP gets the seats needed to win control through election night, wherever they may be. With the exception of Louisiana as it will likely go into runoff, which race result/poll closing, if any, will trigger the media calling the Republicans have captured the Senate due to getting that particular sixth seat? The tipping point, you could say.  I'm thinking Alaska, if it flips. The others, like in NC, will be too close, and if they do flip, will be after control is declared.

 3 
 on: Today at 01:56:35 am 
Started by Phony Moderate - Last post by YL
What seats would UKIP possibly win, other than Farage's?

Ashcroft constituency polls (for what they're worth) just showed them ahead in both Thurrock and South Thanet (the latter may be Farage's) and only just behind in Great Yarmouth and Camborne & Redruth.  Various other seats near the East and South Coasts seem like at least outside chances for them as well: Boston & Skegness, Sittingbourne & Sheppey, maybe North Thanet, possibly a couple on the Sussex coast.  I'd also mention Castle Point, mainly because it seems like a rather UKIP sort of place.  Of seats currently held by Labour, I'd think the one in most danger of going purple is Great Grimsby, but Survation and Ashcroft polls there have both shown Labour well ahead.

Using the data published by Electoral Calculus as to how similar the new proposed seat was to the old, I came up with the following alternative General Election 2010

Conservatives 296 seats
Labour 234 seats
Liberal Democrats 47 seats
Democratic Unionists 6 seats
Scottish Nationalists 6 seats
Sinn Fein 6 seats
SDLP 2 seats
Plaid Cymru 1 seat
Alliance 1 seat
Northern Ireland Independents 1 seat
What seat(s) would the Sinn Fein gain from the DUP? And do you really think that Naomi Long can hold on in E. Belfast, and are these figures counting two tory wins in NI, I only count 16 NI seats won by NI Parties?

This is based on the proposed boundaries from the cancelled boundary review, and it's for 2010.  Northern Ireland would have had 16 seats, so that's right, and Alliance would definitely have won Belfast South-East (and had a good chance at holding on to it in 2015; it was a bit of a dream scenario for them).  I'm not sure how he's getting 6 Sinn Féin seats, though: they'd presumably have won the new "Glenshane" seat (the successor to East Londonderry) but Mid Ulster would have been abolished, so I'm only seeing 5.  Possibly he thinks they'd have won North Belfast, but I don't think the proposals would have helped them there.

 4 
 on: Today at 01:53:04 am 
Started by VP windjammer - Last post by Tender Branson
Sry, but I don't "ban" polls, just because they have a tendency to favour this party/candidate and then the other by bigger margins.

For Rasmussen, they had a few bad cycles - but also had good elections at times - it's hard to know if their polls will be accurate or not in November.

Everyone can post polls in there, no matter if they are looking like a joke or not, as long as they are scientific (or at least look like they are).

Internal polls may also be posted, but NOT to the database (which I will delete if someone does).

Internals are important to see where a campaign currently stands.

 5 
 on: Today at 01:52:23 am 
Started by Cris - Last post by TheHawk
Where does this whole joke about Bruce TRYING to lose come from? Sorry. This race wasn't really on my radar until it tightened with Ernst.

 6 
 on: Today at 01:50:07 am 
Started by Northeast Rep Matt - Last post by Northeast Rep Matt
Foreign Policy:

Intervention: Given the current world we live in where tyrants and evil men often times find themselves in position of great power, there will always be the possibility that this grand republic of ours will be forced to go to war against a ruthless, evil man who gives us no other choice in the matter. However, I believe that going to war always must be a last resort reserved for only when our national security is actually at risk, and we should also reserve the possibility of getting involved to put a stop on certain cases of extreme genocide.

Human Rights: I support putting heavy, severe sanctions on any nation that commits human rights violations, and in the most atrocious (i.e. genocides) cases I support outright embargos on all trade to and from that nation.

Nuclear Weapons: I dream that we can eventually live in a world without nuclear weapons, however at this juncture there remain untrustworthy individuals who possess nuclear weapons are not soon to give them up. We must talk with other nations who possess nuclear weapons, and we must insist (through economic restrictions if necessary) that all nations get on board with the common goal of universal disarmament.

Social Policy:

Abortion: I am pro-choice all the way. While I dislike the idea of abortion, I even more dislike the idea of government making decisions for women about their health. I believe it to be a necessary evil, and support abortion at very least through the second trimester being covered by state funded single-payer health insurance.

Gay Rights: Obviously here in Atlasia, we are far ahead of the United States on this issue, and I wholeheartedly support all advancements in LGBT rights made here in Atlasia. We still of course have work to do, as we do in all areas, but the fact that we are, where we are makes me proud.

Drugs: I am very glad that Atlasia has decided to end the war on drugs, and I hope to continue all of the progress made in this area. I support full legalization of all drugs, and I support the release from prison of all on-violent drug offenders.

Death Penalty: While some certainly may "deserve" such punishment, I believe that most arguments made for the use of capital punishment are made from an emotional standpoint, rather than a logical standpoint. The state has no right to take a life, and there are many potential legal complications that arise from the use of the death penalty. (i.e. wrongful conviction)

Individual Liberty: I very fundamentally believe that the state has no right to inflict its perceived sense of "morality" on an individual. When there is no harm done to another individual, I support the liberty in its most infinite form. The sky is the limit, as far as I'm concerned. This is why in the Northeast Assembly I voted for the highly controversial "same love act" as I believed that the state had absolutely no right to tell family members who have a romantic attachment to each other, that they have no right to express their love. I believe that "public safety" has been the code for more discrimination, than almost any other phrase known to man. Now of course, this isn't to say that I oppose legitimate efforts made to improve what in reality constitutes public safety, but giving the state the power to criminalize something just because they perceive it as "gross" seems rather hateful to me.

Economic Issues:

Healthcare: I believe that no Atlasian should directly have to pay for a medical bill in their entire life. I support 100% state funded single-payer health insurance for all, with enough funding to ensure that there are no wait lists, or denial in needed care for anyone. Obviously some will raise concerns about how to produce funding for such a measure, but I believe that slashing what we spend on pointless conflicts, and supporting heavy progressive income taxes, combined with the fact that those living in poverty would no longer have to visit emergency rooms for their care, costing millions of dollars more than simply providing them with regular check-ups.

Taxes: I support abolishing sales taxes, and drastically reducing so called (sin) taxes. The folks that most often have to pay these draconian rates are those low income folks who cannot afford to do so, yet tobacco and alcohol are both addicting substances, which even if one really cannot afford to buy, will buy anyway. Therefore instead of attempting to moronically "tax their addiction out of existence" I support drastically reducing taxes on such substances. I strongly support progressive income taxes as the most effective way to redistribute wealth, and help those in poverty get out of their situation. I do however support tax cuts for small businesses, especially if they are willing to pay their employees a living wage.

Unions/Right to Work: I unequivocally oppose "right to work" laws, and stand behind labor unions as one of the greatest long term combatants of poverty. Having a job is great, but having a job with security, higher wages, and numerous benefits is even better. Workers should essentially run our economy, and I believe that workers running the economy will result in incredibly low poverty rates, and a middle class as strong as steel.

Outsourcing: I support supporting strong restrictions and penalties on corporations who use the great resources and workers that Atlasia has to offer, and then when they want higher profits simply say "let's go to China and get free labor." I also am open minded to offering incentives to businesses who hire more unionized Atlasian workers, and decide against ditching our great nation.

I'll post more information tomorrow, and hopefully will have the opportunity to field more questions. Smiley

(I realize that some of my answers may already be the status quo in Atlasia, but my platform is meant to reflect my viewpoints, and may not be 100% up to date by Atlasian standards.)

 7 
 on: Today at 01:49:24 am 
Started by Cris - Last post by blackraisin
Leaning on republicans still.

 8 
 on: Today at 01:48:55 am 
Started by VP windjammer - Last post by TheHawk
I second this

 9 
 on: Today at 01:47:27 am 
Started by dead0man - Last post by TheHawk
Am I the only one that thinks Spectacular Spider-Man is overrated? The animation can not be any more childish. I don't care if the writing is great. If you have such 4Kids animation, I can't take you seriously. And don't get me started in Batman TAS. The while DCAU is awful.

Also no KOTH means me no likey

 10 
 on: Today at 01:45:01 am 
Started by dead0man - Last post by TheHawk

Well of course you would point that out

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