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March 27, 2015, 10:59:59 pm
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 1 
 on: Today at 10:59:32 pm 
Started by Governor TDAS04 - Last post by JerryArkansas
Of course never

 2 
 on: Today at 10:57:56 pm 
Started by bobloblaw - Last post by IceSpear
I still think the correct answer is 2008...

McCain still would've carried Alaska without Palin. It was polling like Montana and the Dakotas before he picked her.

 3 
 on: Today at 10:56:19 pm 
Started by angryGreatness - Last post by JerryArkansas

 4 
 on: Today at 10:50:13 pm 
Started by bobloblaw - Last post by 4U9525
I still think the correct answer is 2008...

 5 
 on: Today at 10:50:07 pm 
Started by Mr. Morden - Last post by IceSpear
Bush is reportedly vetting Sandoval as potential VP:

Quote
A possible Bush-Sandoval ticket came up behind the scenes at a January Republican National Committee meeting in San Diego, according to one source who attended the meeting. Bush’s staff asked Nevada officials about Sandoval, the state’s first Hispanic governor who was re-elected in a landslide in 2014 with 70 percent of the vote. The other insider said separately that a member of the governor’s staff mentioned recently that Bush is vetting Sandoval as a potential running mate.
www.reviewjournal.com/news/las-vegas/sandoval-said-be-jeb-bush-s-vp-short-list

Isn't it a little presumptuous of Jeb to already begin vetting VPs? Even calling him a weak frontrunner may be too generous. Stories like this could backfire on him.

That said, Sandoval would be a smart pick for Jeb. Everyone talks about how Romney needed a "true conservative" VP to mollify the base, and the same for Jeb. But the reality is that the base is/was going to turn out for them in large numbers regardless due to their fierce hatred of Obama/Hillary.

 6 
 on: Today at 10:47:01 pm 
Started by angryGreatness - Last post by Sawx, King in the North


Likely R/Retirement Watch:
AK-AL
AR-02
CA-25
CO-3
FL-7 (especially if the redistricting lawsuit forces a redraw)
GA-12
IA-4
IL-13
MT-AL (HO)
MI-3 (PW)
MI-8
MI-11 (Leans on the map)
NC-2
NJ-2 (RW)
NJ-5
NV-3
NY-11
OH-14
PA-6
UT-4
VA-2
VA-4 (if the redistricting thing actually becomes resolved)
WA-8 (HO)
WI-6
WV-2

Leans R:
CA-10
CA-25
IL-12
ME-2
MI-7
NJ-3
NY-1
NY-21
NY-23
VA-10

Tilts R:
AZ-2 (in retrospect)
IL-10
NE-2
TX-23

Toss-Up:
FL-2
FL-18
MI-1
NH-1
NY-19 (forgot to update this one)
NY-24
PA-8

Tilts D:
IA-1
NV-4


Leans D:
AZ-1
CA-7
CA-52
MN-8

Likely D:
AZ-9 (HO)
CA-24 (RW)
CA-26
CA-36
MD-6 (HO)
MN-1
MN-7
NH-2 (HO)

 7 
 on: Today at 10:45:49 pm 
Started by bobloblaw - Last post by L.D. Smith, Knight of Appalachia
Dole gave Oklahoma to Ford

LBJ gave Texas to Kennedy

Muskie gave Maine to Humphrey

Bush dethroned Massachusetts "not since Eisenhower" Dem streak for Reagan

Bentsen almost gave Dukakis the Dakotas

 8 
 on: Today at 10:45:32 pm 
Started by hurricanehink - Last post by SMilo
You made a good point about Coakley. She wasn't a very good candidate. What about the 2002 gubernatorial election in which the Democrats ran a non-Coakley candidate?

$$$$$ - Not only Romney being unlimited, but O'Brien having zero because the primary was ultra-competitive, and there was no time to reload the war chest because MA has their primary at the last possible practical date.

Romney was also pro-choice. Remember when that was a thing.

And forum fave Jilly Stein didn't completely spoil it, but a woman getting 3.5% as a 3rd party candidate shows that it wasn't so much anti-woman bias.

I know Romney didn't run a good campaign at all, but he didn't in 2012 yet he got nominated for President despite massive hatred from the party base. Again, money solves a lot of problems - even the ones it creates.

 9 
 on: Today at 10:44:13 pm 
Started by Hifly - Last post by Senator Polnut
I should also put my ranges in here.

Coalition
Min: 48 Max: 55

Labor
Min: 33 Max: 41

Greens
Min: 0 Max: 3

Independents
Min: 2 Max: 4

 10 
 on: Today at 10:44:10 pm 
Started by Landslide Lyndon - Last post by ModerateVoter
Think Berkley may try again?

She ruled it out.

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