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October 31, 2014, 06:32:53 am
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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 on: Today at 06:31:13 am 
Started by IceSpear - Last post by JRP1994
Well look at that... Braswell Brentley is making a last stand after all.

 on: Today at 06:30:16 am 
Started by Phony Moderate - Last post by Phony Moderate
Traditional thread.

 on: Today at 06:29:21 am 
Started by politicus - Last post by London Man
I don't think the referendum will happen; Labour are still likely to win the next election.

 on: Today at 06:25:24 am 
Started by Snowstalker - Last post by RR1997
The Founding Fathers had radically different views from each other, so it's ultimately a meaningless term.


I'm getting so tired of Paulbots/Tea Party kooks parroting the term "the Founding Fathers."

 on: Today at 06:19:50 am 
Started by politicus - Last post by Grumps
Yes, duh.

 on: Today at 06:17:22 am 
Started by politicus - Last post by politicus
The National Elections Commission (CNE) has approved the results of the election giving victory to Filipe Nyusi as president with 57% of the vote and Frelimo with 144 of 250 seats in parliament.

The results are close to those predicted by the parallel sample count. But CNE only approved the results by a 10-7 majority, with opposition nominees and some civil society reps voting against. Renamo today filed a formal protest.

CNE was required by law to report today, but  is continuing its investigations into a wide range of complaints including late opening of polling stations, conflicting numbers in different copies of some results sheets (editas), suspected ballot box stuffing, reports of pre-marked ballots in circulation, and opposition ballots improperly made invalid by polling station staff.  Some editais are also missing, but they don't identify how many.

The official results:

Turnout: 48.64%.


Filipe Nyusi 2,761,025 - 57.03%
Afonso Dhlakama 1,762,260 - 36.61%
Daviz Simango 306,884 - 6.36%


Frelimo 144
Renamo 89
MDM 17

Total seats in the 10 provincial parliaments (Maputo City doesn't have a parliament):

Frelimo 485
Renamo 295
MDM 31

A total of 754,113 ballot papers considered invalid at polling stations were sent to Maputo and reconsidered by the CNE, and 174,614 were accepted as valid. This means 23% were accepted, which is higher than in previous elections. Of 466 protested votes, 323 were accepted as valid.

By comparison, the 2009 results were:

Turnout 44.63%


Armando Guebuza 75.01%
Afonso Dhlakama 16.41%
Daviz Simango 8.59%


Frelimo 191
Renamo 51

MDM joins Renamo in rejection of the results

Like Renamo MDM has rejected the result because misconduct was too widespread. Daviz Simango has demanded that the general elections should be annulled.
In a statement Simango has expressed his “profound sorrow because these elections were stained by an unequal combat during the election campaign, and in proven acts of fraud and violence they have now had final discredit”. The results were “not credible, bearing in mind the countless reports of irregularities denounced by us and known by all of society”.

There was no hint in Simango's statement that MDM will take to the streets against the results, or that its elected MPs will refuse to take their streets.

The problem for MDM is the same as for Renamo. They were part of the electoral apparatus with MDM representatives on all election commissions - on the CNE itself, and on every provincial, district and city elections commission.
MDM polling station monitors did not submit a single appeal or complaint on time to the district courts, which handle all protests against events at the polling stations.

According to the Supreme Court, between them Frelimo, Renamo and the MDM only submitted 24 appeals to the district courts. All the ones from Renamo and MDM either contained no evidence, were submitted beyond the deadline of 48 hours after close of polls, or were addressed to the wrong body (provincial rather than district courts).
The only avenue still open to MDM is an appeal to the Constitutional Council - Mozambique's highest body in matters of constitutional and electoral law.

 on: Today at 06:16:10 am 
Started by Potus2036 - Last post by RR1997
Of African native descent.

It gets a little blurry when dealing with North African Arabs or what fraction of descent is required to be considered black.

 on: Today at 06:14:05 am 
Started by ElectionsGuy - Last post by Cranberry, President of Atlasia

 on: Today at 05:55:21 am 
Started by Mr. Morden - Last post by Mr. Morden
Let's not forget this guy.....who had Hillary's signature "tattooed across his lower abdomen and made a video of the inking, which he sent immediately to Chelsea Clinton" (wtf?):

 on: Today at 05:54:22 am 
Started by eric82oslo - Last post by DS0816
Interesting polling since Hillary is supposed to be less popular in the Mountain West.

The Democrats have been leaving too many states to the Republicans.

Montana is winnable in a year where a Democrat is a pickup winner and/or puts up a strong margin that includes contesting the state. (Around 12,000 more votes switched would have delivered a Democratic pickup of the state to Barack Obama in Election 2008.)

Idaho is one of the last states in line. A Democrat would have to win north of 40 states to feasibly win in Idaho, Utah, Wyoming, and Oklahoma. (Ditto Alabama and Mississippi.)

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