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July 21, 2017, 07:49:19 pm
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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 1 
 on: Today at 07:49:00 pm 
Started by Alabama_Indy10 - Last post by Kingpoleon
Personally: Obama
Politically: Hillary 2008>Obama>>>>>>>>>Hillary 2016

 2 
 on: Today at 07:47:50 pm 
Started by Virginia - Last post by TheSaint250
Of course

 3 
 on: Today at 07:46:07 pm 
Started by Spark498 - Last post by TheLeftwardTide
No.

Missouri is a toss up and West Virginia and North Dakota are likely D.

How is North Dakota likely D? Lean D at best.

 4 
 on: Today at 07:45:49 pm 
Started by Deblano - Last post by Deblano
Who is voting on pipelines? This is a ridiculous wedge issue..

 5 
 on: Today at 07:44:56 pm 
Started by Jacobin American - Last post by Virginia
I chat in IRC (channel not pm) relatively frequently, and I talk to a few people often privately via PM/IRC/etc.

 6 
 on: Today at 07:44:45 pm 
Started by LouisvilleThunder - Last post by LouisvilleThunder
GUNS, BEER, FREEDOM
WHAT ELSE COULD YOU WANT?

Quantum Leap still on TV, which you're clearly the better candidate on.
Of course!

 7 
 on: Today at 07:44:27 pm 
Started by Jacobin American - Last post by fhtagn
Goldwater & fhtagn,

Being ideological and, especially, ideologically consistent, is often not a very good thing. Remaining open to alternative points of view that don't violate your personal ethics is often best. But what, exactly, are some of your views that depart from your prior ideological affiliation?

As I'm sure you've noticed from our few interactions in the past, I used to be very liberal in just about every way (my old PM score was like e: -8, s: -5.75)

I think one of the biggest changes I have noticed more is that I've moved to the center a great deal on economic issues. To loosely reference a conversation I had with RFayette recently, I realized "capitalism isn't so bad after all". Lol

I can get into it more a bit later when I'm home and not typing on a phone Tongue

 8 
 on: Today at 07:44:13 pm 
Started by Virginia - Last post by Power to the Pe p e!
Basically, it would be a coup.

 9 
 on: Today at 07:43:26 pm 
Started by Mondale Won 1 State - Last post by Jalawest2
Quote


Republicans who have watched Nevada politics in recent years worry their party’s struggles in the Silver State will be a harbinger of things to come as the face of the American electorate changes — especially in other Mountain West states such as Arizona and Colorado.

“The Wild West is slowly becoming an Urbanized West,” said Mike Slanker, a Republican strategist in Las Vegas.

The vast majority of Nevada’s growth has come in Clark County, which has seen its population jump from 48,000 in 1950 to 2.1 million today. Waves of immigrants from Central and South America, Asia, the Midwest and California have flocked to the Las Vegas area.

The challenge for Democrats is that many of those new residents are disproportionately unlikely to turn out to vote, especially in midterm elections.

But if they do show up, the GOP’s nightmare scenario will be realized.

And it could also spread to states with metropolitan areas experiencing significant Hispanic population growth such as Texas, Georgia, North Carolina and Florida.

...


Damore, who has conducted research into Hispanic voters for the Democratic firm Latino Decisions, said the changing political nature of the Mountain West is being driven not only by new immigrants, but also by Kihuen and other children of those immigrants.

Where the Hispanic immigrant community once segmented itself by country of origin, creating distinctly Mexican or Honduran or Guatemalan populations, the younger generation sees itself as more generally Hispanic and less specifically tied to ancestral homelands.

Those younger Hispanic voters grew up during, and were deeply influenced by, years of debate over reforming the nation’s immigration system. While advisers to Bush understood the importance of reaching out to Hispanic voters — Bush won 44 percent of the Hispanic vote in 2004 — conservatives in Congress blocked his second-term push for immigration reform.

The “immigration [reform debate] has created a pan-Latino identity. You started to see that during the Bush years,” Damore said.

The GOP is still paying for some of the language its party used, during that debate and subsequently. An increasingly conservative primary electorate has only exacerbated the incentive to take a hard line on immigration reform, something Trump capitalized on during the 2016 primaries.


....

“It has been a challenge to get these folks not only to assimilate, but getting them to the polls,” Kihuen said of Hispanic voters moving into the state. “We’ve come a long way, but it has not been something that happened from one day to the next.”

That’s a microcosm of the problem Democrats face everywhere: Nationally, almost 65 percent of non-Hispanic white voters turned out to vote in 2016, according to political scientist Michael McDonald at the University of Florida. Nearly 60 percent of non-Hispanic black voters turned out, but only 45 percent of Hispanic registered voters showed up at the polls.

In midterm elections, white voters, and even black voters, have been almost twice as likely to show up as Hispanic voters. That means Democrats have left thousands, maybe tens of thousands, of votes on the table.

“We’re still a relatively low-turnout state, so there’s a huge untapped resource for Democrats,” Damore said.

http://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/342427-republicans-face-growing-demographic-shift-in-west

Three of these states already went D in 2016 and didn't keep Trump out of the White House, and four more of them are rock solid Republican in any world outside of Dreamland. It seems like this so-called "disaster" can be condensed to "Arizona could be a swing state in the future."

Don't get me wrong, though...I'm kinda loving this new meme growing on Atlas that ID, MT, and the Dakotas can become competitive any time soon. Trump won MT by 20 points and the other three by 30+, but I'm sure there are plenty of people who would flip right from Trump to Bernie in 3.5 years.
Bernie would get blown the  out there if he ran. If you ran say, Steve Bullock on the other hand, a lot of those states might flip. They swung pretty heavily towards Obama in 08.

 10 
 on: Today at 07:43:11 pm 
Started by Dwarven Dragon - Last post by Power to the Pe p e!
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/senate-parliamentarian-byrd-rule-health-care_us_59727d12e4b00e4363df9867

This refers to the BCRA, not the AHCA or the 2015 "straight-repeal" bill.

You mean what there is nary 40 votes for?

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