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 on: July 30, 2015, 10:22:24 pm 
Started by ElectionsGuy - Last post by maxheem
Democrats need to win 4 seats to tie. They have one seat in the bag (Illinois) and one seat pretty close to in the bag (Wisconsin, though I think Johnson is more politically talented than Feingold), but the rest gets... kind of tricky. They have to defend one of their own seats (Nevada), one seat looks pretty good but isn't a given (Florida). Then there are a lot of Lean R seats like Ohio, Pennslyvania, New Hampshire where, in the right circumstances they should be competitive. Democrats have decent recruits in some of those seats, but those recruits are currently underperforming while incumbents are doing well. Toomey is leading in the polls, Portman is running laps around Strickland in fundraising, and despite Ayotte's weak position, her biggest opposition is currently not as interested as most would like. Democrats do have some interesting prospects they should probably explore in Arizona, Indiana, Missouri for wave insurance, but those states are probably 90-10 Republican, if they're lucky.

All in All, I'd say Lean R.

 on: July 30, 2015, 10:19:55 pm 
Started by HillOfANight - Last post by Castro
Does Arizona have any respect for their senior senator? This is ridiculous.

You mean the state that censured that same Senator for his "liberal" record?

 on: July 30, 2015, 10:18:12 pm 
Started by Free Bird - Last post by Türkisblau
I swear there needs to be an age limit on how long elected officials can stay in office.   The country would be so much better off without senile old people like Hatch and John Conyers running the place.

Chuck Grassley and Patrick Leahy should go too.

Things worked a lot more "smoothly" in congress when experienced olds ran the show and the young'uns fell in line. See: modern history.

 on: July 30, 2015, 10:17:40 pm 
Started by ElectionsGuy - Last post by MW Representative RFayette
As long as Walker, Bush, or Rubio win the nomination in the end (or Paul if neocons warm up to him), then it's lean R, possibly even Likely R; Hillary's favorables are getting pretty sh*tty; had it not been for Trump, then it would be looking pretty good for the GOP now.  If Trump or some wacko manages to win, then it's Lean to Likely D, so I'd probably put it as Tossup overall.

 on: July 30, 2015, 10:16:08 pm 
Started by TNvolunteer - Last post by Snowguy716
I think this'll be the next round in "City Areas vs the Rest of the State" (Round 1 is Upstate vs New York City)
For Minnesota the correct terminology would be "Twin Cities vs. Outstate Minnesota"

 on: July 30, 2015, 10:15:44 pm 
Started by Lumine - Last post by maxheem
Endorsers of John Lindsay

- Former Governor of Massachusetts Endicott Peabody will be campaigning in Massachusetts and New Hampshire.
- Former Governor Sam Goddard will be campaigning in Arizona.
- Former Congressman George F. Senner will be campaigning in Arizona
- Former Congressman Joseph Oliva Huot will be campaigning in New Hampshire.

 on: July 30, 2015, 10:15:25 pm 
Started by afleitch - Last post by Zezano
I don't defend these attacks but these gay activist are behaving in a manner similar to pussy riot by trying to provoke a religious community. Tel Aviv is very gay friendly just as America and Europe have gay friendly cities. Jerusalem is none as a very religious city for both Jews, Muslims, and Christians. It's not like Jerusalem persecutes gays but the pride parade is going out of it's way to get a response and reaction. Religious people and Secular people can coexist if they have their own communities but they don't need to impose their values on each other. Gay activist and feminist want the whole world to accept their values.

If they can put up with sharing Jerusalem with one another then they can put up with sharing it with LGBT people.

I'm not opposed to gays living there. I just think having a gay demonstration in an Orthodox Neighborhood is obnoxious. Even though I'm Bi that scene never appealed to me. I don't find the culture aesthetically pleasing. It has a certain vulgarity to it. Same with feminist. They want to impose their values on the world. They want slut walks every where.

 on: July 30, 2015, 10:10:39 pm 
Started by King - Last post by Mr. Morden
However, if the Golden Boy Donald Trump hadn't entered, it looked like Scott Walker was picking up steam to move into the front and stay there.

Maybe.  I'm actually wondering if Trump's emergence might be what seals up elite support for Walker.  If Trump actually manages to maintain a dominant position in NH polls for the next several months, while Walker narrowly leads him in Iowa (or is at least tied with him for the lead), then Walker becomes the obvious vehicle through which the party elite can beat Trump and Bush starts to look like a loser.

But who knows.  It's early.  The polls could turn completely upside down between now and October or November, let alone January and February.

 on: July 30, 2015, 10:10:00 pm 
Started by The Year Summer Ended In July - Last post by Cathcon
No. Just stop this effing nonsense. Please effing stop. There are two forums. Do what you want to on ADD. If there's nothing you want to do here, don't be here. Why is this so effing ideological to you people? Both forums are cesspools. Guess why! Just effing guess! Because we post on them! We, us, humanity, in all our glorious imperfection! "Oh, here's a stupid thread!" If the mods on this forum are so awful, or the posts are, or what have you, then why be here? Are you getting effing ideological about an effing Internet forum? I'm sure you have a job. Maybe you have friends, even! Focus on those, not this! If I were a praying man these days, I'd pray for your soul. But yours is too trivial a matter to bother taking to God. Peace.

 on: July 30, 2015, 10:09:52 pm 
Started by ElectionsGuy - Last post by ExtremeRepublican
Likely R.  It could go D in a big wave and I thought it was a toss-up/tilts R a few months ago, but it will be tough for Democrats to hold Nevada (I'm calling that one Leans R for now) and pick up Illinois, Wisconsin, Florida, and one or two of Pennsylvania, Ohio, and New Hampshire (I've taken NC of the battleground completely).

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