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August 24, 2016, 06:19:57 pm
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 on: Today at 05:52:25 pm 
Started by nirvanayoda - Last post by MatteKudasai
If Michigan and NC are within five points of each other (in margins), I will be genuinely shocked.

 on: Today at 05:51:30 pm 
Started by L'exquisite Douleur - Last post by Committeeman Kingpoleon
nice reasoning, ff.

 on: Today at 05:50:56 pm 
Started by LLR - Last post by Committeeman Kingpoleon
Jimmy Carter or George H. W. Bush

 on: Today at 05:50:53 pm 
Started by nirvanayoda - Last post by heatcharger
Lol Reuters

I coulda sworn they used to be a good pollster. Now they're not even trying.

 on: Today at 05:50:50 pm 
Started by Eleven - Last post by MatteKudasai
I could see any of the four happening if the race tightens, with Iowa being the first to go, though Nevada's polling has tended to show it right on the margins as well. I'd put NC between IA/NV and OH, with FL maybe half a point to the left of all of them.

 on: Today at 05:50:32 pm 
Started by Andrew from Cali - Last post by New Canadaland
If Republicans can't turn things around, then yes, it'll soon be as unwinnable for them as New Mexico. Nevada's already most of the way there, though.
Trump is down by 3% points in Nevada and he is a horrible candidate. Nevada isn't gone yet.

Trump will not lose Nevada by only 3% in the end though. Clinton will end up taking Nevada by (near) double digits. Nevada polls are terrible and underpoll Spanish speaking voters, which is why Trump is only slightly behind in state polls right now but will be defeated by a large margin in the state on election day.

So why IS every single poll underpolling Spanish speaking voters in your opinion?
Because it's expensive. Good polling is even more expensive now than in 2012, when most pollsters still didn't poll Spanish speakers in NV and CO.

 on: Today at 05:50:00 pm 
Started by GM Kalwejt - Last post by Signora Ophelia Maraschina, Mafia courtesan
Time for EDSA IV, methinks.

Sadly, his approval rating is through the roof.

 on: Today at 05:49:48 pm 
Started by Intell - Last post by Committeeman Kingpoleon

 on: Today at 05:49:32 pm 
Started by Northern Assemblyman lwp2004 - Last post by DKrol
C, by far. Under-done scenario here, certainly, and seems interesting.

 on: Today at 05:48:53 pm 
Started by nirvanayoda - Last post by LLR
Lol Reuters

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