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March 26, 2015, 05:29:44 pm
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 on: Today at 04:34:47 pm 
Started by afleitch - Last post by i think i know where elvis lives
Clearly Phil has some disturbing fantasies.
well we already know that he has some strange ideas about 15 year old girls

if it bleeds its good enough to breed amirite

 on: Today at 04:34:30 pm 
Started by Franzl - Last post by Governor Simfan34
The co-pilot's friends told Der Spiegel he battled depression in 2009 and took a 6-month leave from training. While he passed all physical and psych tests, German law prohibits Lufthansa from obtaining his previous medical history.

Lubitz's former classmates told reporters in Germany that the 28-year-old temporarily left pilot training due to "burnout-syndrom" [sic], ...

Why is the adverb "sic" used in that sentence? I know what it means, but I don't understand the usage here.

"Syndrom" is not a word

 on: Today at 04:34:12 pm 
Started by Potus2036 - Last post by Potus2036
What are the chances that Manchin runs now that Kessler is in?

I think Manchin's chances are mostly affected by the Republican willingness to neuter the Governor. I've said this before, Manchin might come back because he wants to get things done again. If he doesn't think he can do that, then there is no reason to come back.

Also, what are the odds Democrats hold Kessler's Senate seat? His district narrowly elected a Republican last year, IIRC.

He serves with Kent Leonhardt who was just recently elected. Leonhardt was a good candidate, but he was also running against an entrenched incumbent. Leonhardt didn't get any help from the business groups like BIC and the Chamber. The same will not be said of the candidate for Kessler's seat. I seriously, seriously doubt Democrats hold the seat.

 on: Today at 04:34:05 pm 
Started by Governor TDAS04 - Last post by Vega

 on: Today at 04:33:42 pm 
Started by retromike22 - Last post by Fubart Solman
Also the media would jump all over any antiHillary endorsement from a Dem gov or Senator Simply to play up the horserace.

Future DailyKos headline: "Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont endorses Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont for President"

John Hickenlooper's or Michael Bennet's endorsements would guarantee an AntiHillary win in Colorado.

Seriously though, I'd say that Warren's endorsement would carry a fair bit of weight (she hasn't fully endorsed Hillary, has she?). I could see some Appalachian or Southern Democrats (the few that are left, like Manchin) supporting Webb, which could boost him in those areas.

Manchin has actually endorsed Hillary already.

Obama and Warren are the only two I can think of, but Obama's obviously staying neutral. It will be interesting to see what Warren does. She did sign the letter encouraging Hillary to run.

Good to know about Manchin. That's what I was thinking for Warren. I was pretty sure that she hadn't fully endorsed Hillary, but I remembered something about that letter.

 on: Today at 04:31:49 pm 
Started by Minnesota Resistance Special Forces - Last post by i think i know where elvis lives
>implying atlas forum isn't already 4chan
even with the long, sad decline of half chan i'd still take it over the atlas forums

 on: Today at 04:31:44 pm 
Started by Progressive - Last post by Governor Simfan34
If Gillibrand really was a problem, Hillary could "move back" to Arkansas.

 on: Today at 04:30:42 pm 
Started by Senator Cris - Last post by IndyRep
I'll never understand why Floridians keep electing Rick Scott to public office, but to each their own I suppose.

It amazes me how competent the FL GOP is. The party can really be proud of itself, unlike the VA or IN GOP. FL really is a swing state only in Presidential Election years. It is a (light) red state in midterm elections. Anyway, in order to be successful in FL, you need much of this: $$$. And both Murphy and Scott have it en masse, otherwise they wouldn't have won their elections.

Another thing I am surprised at is the Hispanic vote. Romney had an absolutely terrible performance among this voting group (lost it by 21 points). However, in all the recent polls, Hispanic voters are either leaning towards the Republican candidate (Rubio/Bondi) or slightly leaning towards the Democrat (Clinton/Murphy against Atwater) or tied (Atwater/Nelson vs. Scott lol) but it's nowhere near the blowout that Romney faced. I thought Hispanics are trending hard Dem, but this poll may be evidence that the opposite is true. It can't just be a sampling error because many polls (not just PPP) show this. Was Romney just such a terrible fit for Hispanics?

Well, Romney did worse than Generic R among hispanics because of his self-deportation comments and his far-right pandering during the primary. I believe the 2014 National Hispanic Vote was ~36% GOP, 9% better than what Romney got. Some of that is from the wave, but some of that is simple absence of self-deportation comments and the like.

And the fact remains that as long as the GOP matches the Romney white vote performance and picks up a good 4-5% or so from hispanics, they probably get florida back in presidential elections.

I agree. The big challenge for the FL GOP in 2016 will be matching the Romney white performance because there will probably be many white female Romney/Clinton voters. However, if they manage to do that, FL will almost certainly be a GOP pickup - it will probably be the first GOP pickup on Election Night and would put the Republican candidate at 235 EV.

 on: Today at 04:30:38 pm 
Started by Clarko95 - Last post by afleitch
And again, this is only one issue which this law addresses. It's funny how much those who don't give a damn about freedom of conscience were complaining about employers not wanting to offer birth control, now they act like the only religious freedom issue is discrimination against gays because it's a better polemic for them.

True. And if I was a woman or a Muslim I'd be equally as concerned about what excuses people will pull out of their ass for not being a decent human being because of laws like this. But what sort of big social change happening right now in favour of a certain group of people who have suffered open and legal discrimination and harassment, a change that is happening imminently and openly appealed to in the various briefs in support of those bills over the past few years is the catalyst for these legal moves? Don't you think maybe, that religious belief actually has sod all to do with it and it might, just might be an action against a certain minority group?

No, I don't.  People have beliefs that are important to them.  Do you find this odd?

Exclusively religious beliefs no? I mean I don't see action, petitions and public calls to incorporate other belief systems within these bills. Surely if a persons conscience and belief is so important it needs supra-constitutional protection then surely it need not be exclusively religious belief? Obviously this must be a gross oversight and those who champion personal belief as the reason for these bills will amend the legislation accordingly once they acknowledge this error.

Indeed it is nice to know that these laws are in fact not triggered by anything other than people collectively deciding completely arbitrarily, that their religious belief with respect to dealing with another human being in daily conduct and business is suddenly useful important without any external factors whatsoever.

LGBT people can sleep safely knowing that if service is denied to them it's not being denied to them at all, it's entirely unrelated and has nothing to do with a persons opinion of them and finding a legal loophole in which to demonstrate incivility and downright disassociation with someone they don't like based on a transient religious focus on disliking an out-group and instead is an entirely unrelated exercise of personal conscience.

 on: Today at 04:30:36 pm 
Started by Mideast Senator and Senate speaker windjammer - Last post by Senator SWE

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