NYC'13: Congrats to Mayor de Blasio

[DINGO Joe]

Someone correct me if I'm wrong, but all of the polls were completed before Bloomberg shared his thoughts.  If only 40% is needed to avoid a runoff, then my gut says it's very likely that de Blasio tops 40%. 

[DINGO Joe]

We'll see if PPP confirms this:

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Kind of weird to call something from your own (PPP) twitter feed  a "rumor".

[DINGO Joe]

PPP posted

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/09/de-blasio-on-verge-of-avoiding-runoff.html#more

Exactly like the "rumor"

If undecideds break proportionally de Blasio is at 42%

[DINGO Joe]

Haha, deBlasio's kids out there.  That 'fro is fantastic.  

I assume someone has done a photoshop of Bloomberg stopping and frisking that 'fro, but I haven't seen one yet.

[DINGO Joe]

Also, I'm looking at the map, and there's a precinct between Riverdale and Washington Heights (District 72-050) and they voted for Credico by a huge margin, he won with 97.2% of the vote in that district and it accounted for 1/12 of his total votes.

That has all the earmarks of someone keying in the wrong info.  Instead of 1102 votes, Credico probably had 2 votes. 

[DINGO Joe]

So the night when Weiner lost his campaign for mayor, the woman he sexted came to his campaign headquarters at the time of his concession speech. Seems awkward right? But that’s not the last of it.

He went into the McDonalds close by with this woman, and they were both in there for a few minutes.

After the incident of whatever-the--they-were-doing, he went to his car and flipped the bird at the journalists from the inside of his car.

What a graceful way to leave politics. If he leaves politics (please dear god leave politics).

Hopefully, her 15 minutes are up too

[DINGO Joe]

the Atlantic has a little article on the glitch precincts from election night and their impact on the percentages.

http://www.theatlanticwire.com/politics/2013/09/mystery-1001-mayoral-votes-comedian-bronx/69298/

BDB's increase to 40.33 is probably due more to corrections than due to the final precincts trickling in.  It does look like one major glitch still hasn't been fixed (the one noted above by Flo), so I'm guessing he'll be around 40.4 when they start counting the absentees.

[DINGO Joe]

Out of curiosity I looked at the official results from the 2009 mayoral general election.  In that election there were just under 1.2 million votes cast (versus roughly 750,000 in the primary this year).  Of that vote cast there were:

5472 emergency ballots counted
22194 absentee ballots counted
12766 affidavit ballots counted

There was no breakout for BDM ballots
There's also no indication of how many affidavit or absentee ballots that were rejected.

It's important to remember that after Hurricane Sandy, Cuomo signed an executive order enabling NY voters to vote by affidavit at any precinct, and that swelled affidavit ballots to almost 250,000 in 2012 General, but that was for the 2012 election only.  That could have led to a number of people believing they could that again in this election, leading to a large number of invalid affidavits.  Conversely, Sandy probably led to large number of people changing their registration in the last year and it's possible that a higher number of affidavits will be valid.

[DINGO Joe]

In a weird bit of trivia, if after all the ballots are counted and de Blasio falls below 40%, Thompson will still be listed on the runoff ballot, even though he's conceded.

[DINGO Joe]

FWIW, de Blasio is up to 40.88% of the vote after the machine recanvass and count of emergency ballots.

There were obviously a large number of errors in recording and sending in the vote on election night, as all four of the minor candidates lost votes.  I know NYC is bigger than most states, but there just seemed to be quite a bit of carelessness.

Changes in vote totals from the final machine canvas:

DeBlasio           +6384
Thompson        +2274
Quinn               +1260
Liu                     +163
Weiner               +64

Salgado              -91
Credico             -1278
Albanese           -497
Grimaldi             -428

Besides fixing errors that does include the 40+ precincts that didn't report election night

[DINGO Joe]

NYC finished the final vote count yesterday and Deblasio ended up with 40.81% of the vote, if he had fallen below 40% then a runoff would have been listed on the ballot even though Thompson withdrew, and the runoff is Oct 1st, 4 days after they finished the official count.

[DINGO Joe]

I can find a link with precinct results, but not borough.

http://project.wnyc.org/election2013/

[DINGO Joe]

Hynes may have the Republican line, but he won't be using it:

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Thank goodness.  This was the race with the highest chance of a disastrous outcome, and the voters did the right thing.

After saying for several weeks, he wasn't going to run on the R and C lines, Hynes will announce Tuesday that he will

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/10/04/nyregion/hynes-to-run-for-district-attorney-as-a-republican.html?ref=nyregion

[DINGO Joe]

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/new-york-city/release-detail?ReleaseID=1967
Quinnipiac has De Blasio up 68-24 with Carrion getting 2%

Interestingly Lhota has gained three points on De Blasio since Quinnipiac's last survey at the beginning of the month, when De Blasio lead 71-21

It's the Lhota lheap!

[DINGO Joe]

lol

If only someone could photoshop a 64 oz cup in front of Bloomberg, that picture will be perfect.