Census population estimates 2011-2019

[DINGO Joe]

Is there any set date for the 2018 county estimates?

The scheduled release is April 2019.

I think the shutdown shoved it back quite a bit.

[DINGO Joe]

Is there any set date for the 2018 county estimates?

The scheduled release is April 2019.

I think the shutdown shoved it back quite a bit.

April 18th is the release date or the 16th if you've got embargoed media access.

[DINGO Joe]

What does it say about Louisiana?

Why is Louisiana suffering?

Poverty, poor quality of life, New Orleans being prone to bad weather, a sluggish economy, and a homicide rate ranking in the top 10 of the 50 states

Louisiana has been number one for homicides for like a decade now or more.  I assumed the recent drop had to do with massive flooding in and around Baton Rouge in 2016 and Baton Rouge proper has lost population when it previously was one of the faster growing areas.  For whatever reason, North Louisiana and the Atchafalaya Basin took total beatdowns last year.  I can understand that the cost of doing business will erode the population in swamp areas (as the swamps erode themselves) but I don't know any particular reason for the hefty drop in the North (save for Vernon Parish which seems to have some military related decline), It's never been economically vibrant up there, but they really can't even claim to be stagnant right now.

[DINGO Joe]

Are county population estimates still expected sometime this month, or are they expected to be delayed due to the COVID-19 outbreak?

Still planned for release this Thursday:

https://www.calendarwiz.com/calendars/popup.php?op=view&id=139838361&crd=cens1sample

Probably won't change the release date.  The data has probably been ready for a week or two now.

[DINGO Joe]

Wonder what it takes to qualify as "media" these days.  If you were a representative of the Talk Elections Blog, would that qualify?

[DINGO Joe]

If it hasn't been noted yet, it should be noted that the estimates don't incorporate any data from the Census done this year.  It merely utilizes the same tools it has all decade.

Having said that, the slow down in natural population growth can easily be viewed by the CDC/NCHS monthly provisional numbers for births-deaths(which I'm sure is used by the Census for estimates)

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/provisional-tables.htm

Of course the first wave of COVID becomes quite noticeable in the APR-JUN months especially in the Ground Zero states. 


Quite a few states will go natural growth negative this year, I guess the most surprising being Florida (which probably would have done it without the COVID or else they're way understating their COVID deaths).  They really are quite dependent on importing old people.

Looks like Louisiana and Mississippi are poised for multi-year declines in population with Alabama a couple of steps behind.