Slowing Trend in North Carolina

[PolitiJunkie]

Classic barfbag having weak arguments and thus regulating what pieces of evidence may be entered into the conversation.

[PolitiJunkie]

You know I keep forgetting North Carolina has their elections in presidential years. This means the state's internal affairs has more of a pull on the presidential election than other states. Damn!

It's probably safe to say that Perdue pulled Obama down with her in 2012.

Yeah. Without Perdue's massive failures, it would have been a pure toss-up. And now, with McCrory's and the legislature's massive failures, we'll see what happens in 2016.

[PolitiJunkie]

The Tar Heel State will be R+3 in 2016.

That sounds about right.

Agreed.

[PolitiJunkie]

Here is a way you can tell the trend in North Carolina will keep happening, the approval rating of the governor and the state assembly.  Both of which are in the toilet.  If they had decent approvals, then yes, the state would probably trend rep in 2016, but the rep is doing so bad at state level it will screw anyone running in 2014/16.

Whether that affects federal results much, though, is quite another matter.

It should more than in other states. The same theory could be applied to Washington, Indiana, Missouri, and I think there's a few other states who hold their governor elections in presidential years. These aren't states I'm the most familiar with, but it seems like North Carolina influences presidential elections in their state.

We elected a GOP president and a Democratic Governor in 1968, 1980, 1992, 1996, 2000, and 2004.

Well actually, you didn't elect a GOP President in 1992 and 1996; you just attempted to.