2014 Senate and House Predictions

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

I think it's too early to tell specific results so I ranked them in order of safeness. I personally don't think the Republicans will take over unless there's another 2010. You know the deal, likely means all the cards have to fall right, lean means there's some time for the other side to take it. Bold means pickups, italics are hypothetical depending on who wins.

Safe R: Wyoming, Idaho, Kansas, Alabama, Oklahoma, SCG, Mississippi, Texas, SCS, Maine
Likely R: Georgia, Kentucky, West Virginia
Lean R: South Dakota, Scott Brown
Toss-up: Alaska, Louisiana
Lean D: Arkansas, North Carolina, Montana
Likely D: Iowa, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Colorado
Safe D: Michigan, Virginia, New Mexico, New Jersey, Delaware, Oregon, Ed Markey, Illinois, Rhode Island

First predictions, how are they?

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

First predictions, how are they?

Good, but I think MA would be a tossup at best if Brown ran.

The italics were for were whoever the incumbent is in 2014. If Brown wins, it's Lean R (except for a tossup), and if it's Markey it's a safe Democratic seat.  For the special election this year I think it's a tossup between the two.