San Diego Mayoral Run-Off

[publicunofficial]

The run-off for the race to replace Bob Filner is tonight. Polls close in a little over an hour.


The candidates are City Councilmen David Alvarez (D) and Kevin Faulconer (R). The CAGOP haven't won a lot of competitive races lately, so this could be a shot in the arm for them. If the Democrats win, it will be the first time that Democrats will hold the Mayors office of the Top 12 most populous cities in the United States (Although they technically still hold San Diego with the interim mayor).


Feel free to post predictions before the votes come in.

Mine: Faulconer 51%, Alvarez 49%

[publicunofficial]

Results here

[publicunofficial]

Polls have officially closed.

[publicunofficial]

167,000 votes are in. Faulconer leads 57-43.



About 242,000 votes were cast in the primary, so it's not looking good for Alvarez.

[publicunofficial]

Twitter is saying no more results for 90 minutes. Apparently that 1.6% is just absentees so far.

[publicunofficial]

13,000 more votes in, Faulconer still leads 57-43.

[publicunofficial]

217,004 votes in, Faulconer still leads 55-45. Alvarez is running out of ways he can win.

[publicunofficial]

85% in, Faulconer leads 55-45. The race has been called for Faulconer.



Should've nominated Nathan Fletcher, but whatever.

[publicunofficial]

Should've nominated Nathan Fletcher, but whatever.

Right ideas always come AFTER elections...

I think Democrats are still kinda new to having the advantage in San Diego, and they forgot that San Diego tends to vote for the most moderate candidate. Faulconer is less conservative than Alvarez liberal, and I think Democrats pulled a Tea-Party mistake by choosing purity over pragmatics.

I'm hardly upset by it. Dems have a large enough majority on the City Council to keep Faulconer in check, and Faulconer is overall a bit to the left of Carl DeMaio. This race also had pretty damn high turnout for a special election, which makes me more confident that the turnout for the CA-52 race in November will be even better.

[publicunofficial]

Final Results, with all the ballots in.


Kevin Faulconer - 52.89%
Nathan Alvarez - 47.11%


Late ballots made it about 4 points closer than it was on election night. Makes it even more apparent that Fletcher would've likely won.