PA-8: Fitzpatrick retiring (user search)
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  PA-8: Fitzpatrick retiring (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-8: Fitzpatrick retiring  (Read 2974 times)
publicunofficial
angryGreatness
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,010
United States


« on: November 08, 2014, 02:17:48 PM »

Seems competitive on paper, but the GOP operation in Bucks County runs like a well-oiled machine.

Lean R until Democrats surprise me with a good candidate, or the GOP surprises me with a bad one.


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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,010
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2014, 03:09:48 PM »

Seems competitive on paper, but the GOP operation in Bucks County runs like a well-oiled machine.

Lean R until Democrats surprise me with a good candidate, or the GOP surprises me with a bad one.


Bingo especially with Cawley though we'll see Corbett mentioned negatively in everything against Cawley (unless Wolf is an early disaster...which is entirely possible).

This isn't a "quintessential swing district" anymore. Before redistricting, sure but Fitz got GOP areas of Montco and lost the very Dem Montco area as well as NE Philly parts. It'll be competitive but I wouldn't call this a coin flip.

Agreed. The seat is Cawley's if he wants it.
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,010
United States


« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2014, 03:15:08 PM »

Phil, do you have any ideas who the GOP might run?

If Cawley doesn't run, are there any strong potential Democratic candidates (my guess is that Murphy's time has passed, unfortunately Sad ).  I'd think there'd be at least one or two floating around (even in PA, we've still hypothetically got Dinniman).

I'm not even sure if Murphy still lives in the district.
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,010
United States


« Reply #3 on: November 09, 2014, 12:04:15 AM »

Jim Cawley starts out there favorite. After 2012, I think Murphy is pretty much a spent force.

What do you mean? Murphy hasn't run for anything since he lost in Fitzpatrick in 2010.
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,010
United States


« Reply #4 on: November 09, 2014, 12:35:22 AM »

Jim Cawley starts out there favorite. After 2012, I think Murphy is pretty much a spent force.

What do you mean? Murphy hasn't run for anything since he lost in Fitzpatrick in 2010.

He ran for AG in 2012.

That he did, I forgot. Thanks.
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