Which state is more likely to vote Democrat in 2016? (user search)
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  Which state is more likely to vote Democrat in 2016? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which state is more likely to vote Democrat in 2016?
#1
North Carolina		  
#2
Indiana		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 49

Author Topic: Which state is more likely to vote Democrat in 2016?  (Read 731 times)
JRP1994
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,048
« on: January 03, 2014, 09:56:36 AM »
North Carolina

PVI: R+3
Expected neutral/generic result: R wins about 53-46-1 (R+7.00%)
Elasticity: 0.92
Elasticity-adjusted generic result: R+7.60

Indiana
PVI: R+5
Expected neutral/generic result: R wins about 55-44-1 (R+11.00%)
Elasticity: 0.99
Elasticity-adjusted generic result: R+11.11%

Assuming generic candidates, the answer is North Carolina.
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