IL gov

[LeBron]

I think a reasoned argument could be made this is actually a better pickup opportunity than Arkansas.

No chance. Republicans have a better chance here than in Connecticut, but Arkansas is a better chance for a GOP pickup than Illinois. Putting aside how Democratic the state of Illinois is, he'll be on the ballot with Dick Durbin which could boost some votes for Gov. Quinn.

And guys, keep in mind the last polling done for the 2014 gubernatorial race was exactly ONE YEAR ago. It showed Rutherford winning the primary and having an only 4 point lead over Quinn, so God knows what Illinoisans would say now in regards to Quinn/Rutherford, Quinn/Dillard or Quinn/Brady.

[LeBron]

This race probably tilts D at this point. Governor Pat Quinn is signing marriage equality into law today and he's providing statewide aid to disaster areas from the tornado.

Plus I wouldn't exactly continue to rely on one poll that occurred exactly a year ago. Only Dillard and Rutherford were polled against Quinn and they were only up by a few points on him. This is deep blue Illinois we're talking about and I just don't see those polled match-ups being identical today.