2014 state legislature (general) elections (user search)
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  2014 state legislature (general) elections (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2014 state legislature (general) elections  (Read 16693 times)
LeBron
LeBron FitzGerald
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Posts: 2,906
United States


« on: December 31, 2013, 12:25:11 AM »

For Ohio, unfortunately like WI, NC, TX and others, they're gerrymandered in. However, I wouldn't be surprised if Democrats could pick off a few seats next year in the State House if Kasich's approvals go down, but even then if they don't, there's still 2016 to knock off a few more. Republicans control our House 60 to 39 and in the Senate have a 23 to 10 2/3rd majority, so control of our legislature really isn't going anywhere for awhile. If Kasich does wins re-election though, that sets the Ohio Democrats up good for 2018 in winning the Governorship and if they can also win Sec. of State or Auditor, Democrats will control the Apportionment Board for the next decade. That's the only real way the Ohio Senate would ever flip control to the Democrats ever again either.

It seems likely that Republicans could lose the PA State Senate because of Corbett. If Dems. do pick off the Governorship/Lt. Governorship, then Democrats only need 2 seats to flip control. The Wisconsin Senate also only needs a net change of 2 seats for the majority to flip, but if Walker wins re-election, then I bet Republicans can still narrowly hold it despite the amount of controversy Ellis has created nationwide.

Arizona might be another one to watch to. Democrats are increasing their balance of power in both houses and could really come close next year to a change in control, but I don't think it will materialize completely until at least 2016.

The CO, IA, and WV Democratic State Senates are also at risk of falling to the GOP while NH the opposite. As was already mentioned, the KY House of Reps. is in the biggest trouble out of perhaps all of them, and the MI House of Reps. should also be closely watched to because only 5 seats need to be lost there by Republicans and of course, the GOP leadership there is very unpopular.

And then with the South, if NC keeps on passing extreme legislation through that McCrory signs, I could see Republicans losing maybe a few seats, but as of right now they hold such huge super majorities in both houses that it would be impossible for either house to flip next year.
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