AR-PPP: All Pubs lead Clinton (user search)
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  AR-PPP: All Pubs lead Clinton (search mode)
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Author Topic: AR-PPP: All Pubs lead Clinton  (Read 4243 times)
TDAS04
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Posts: 23,621
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« on: August 09, 2014, 12:30:51 PM »

Confirms my belief that Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina are well above Arkansas as Democratic 2016 targets.

I don't think anybody would dispute that, even before this poll.

I'd absolutely dispute Arizona.

Arizona? Large Hispanic population to which  the GOP has nothing to offer. I have seen mixed results in the same poll. The Anglo population will eventually need to vote about 70% R for Republicans to win statewide.

Arizona is about eight years behind Colorado and Nevada, about ten years behind New Mexico, and about twenty years behind California in having a D edge instead of an R edge.   

Yes, the same Arizona that hasn't moved in the Democrats direction in years.

McCain's home state advantage kept Arizona from swing much in 2008, and the immigration controversy inhibited Obama from gaining ground there in 2012.  Clinton could be competitive in Arizona. 
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