States flipping toward Obama in 2012 (user search)
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  States flipping toward Obama in 2012 (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which state is most likely to go for Obama in 2012?
#1
Arizona
 
#2
Georgia
 
#3
Missouri
 
#4
Montana
 
#5
North Dakota
 
#6
South Carolina
 
#7
South Dakota
 
#8
Texas
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 37

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Author Topic: States flipping toward Obama in 2012  (Read 2484 times)
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
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Posts: 27,547


« on: April 08, 2010, 10:33:08 AM »

This thread is pretty funny.

If Obama performs worse than 2008 nationally, the only state that stands a chance of being better for him is Arizona, though the losses would probably be from less to greater in this order:

Georgia
South Carolina
Texas
Missouri
North Dakota
South Dakota
Montana

If Obama performs better than 2008 nationally, the probability of a better showing in each of the above listed states would probably follow in this order:

Arizona (still)
Missouri
Texas
South Carolina
Georgia
North Dakota
South Dakota
Montana

If things are the same, then who knows.  It is almost a certainty that we see better performance in Arizona and worse in Montana and South Dakota.  Can anyone tell me why?
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