Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
Posts: 27,547
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« on: April 08, 2010, 10:33:08 AM » |
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This thread is pretty funny.
If Obama performs worse than 2008 nationally, the only state that stands a chance of being better for him is Arizona, though the losses would probably be from less to greater in this order:
Georgia South Carolina Texas Missouri North Dakota South Dakota Montana
If Obama performs better than 2008 nationally, the probability of a better showing in each of the above listed states would probably follow in this order:
Arizona (still) Missouri Texas South Carolina Georgia North Dakota South Dakota Montana
If things are the same, then who knows. It is almost a certainty that we see better performance in Arizona and worse in Montana and South Dakota. Can anyone tell me why?
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