Torie has essentially got the right idea.
The game is realizing that, even in the past 3 elections wild swings, the country is so polarized (1) it is almost impossible to beat an incumbent with greater than D+4 PVI or greater (for Dem) or R+4 PVI or greater (for GOP), unless the incumbent is incompetent; and (2) it is almost impossible to win an open seat with greater than D+6 PVI or greater (for GOP) or R+6 PVI or greater (for Dem) barring special circumstances.
Now we know that in the past 20 or so years, when this game has become really active, Democrats have much more success at achieving the 'almost impossible', and holding on to said seats, for any myriad number of reasons, most importantly that Democratic leaners over the past 20 years or so are more reflexively Democratic, but this is where the action is. And of course, PVI does evolve.
But keep at it.
