Official Michigan and Arizona Results thread (user search)
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  Official Michigan and Arizona Results thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Official Michigan and Arizona Results thread  (Read 15564 times)
Sam Spade
SamSpade
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« on: February 28, 2012, 08:55:19 PM »

Way to early to call MI folks.
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Sam Spade
SamSpade
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« Reply #1 on: February 28, 2012, 09:01:32 PM »


Don't you find that Santorum is severely underperforming in many rural places?

Just got in.  The baseline is to compare Romney 2012 vs. Romney 2008.  Remember that Romney regularly got 30%-35% in a lot of the rural Michigan areas in 2008, so I wouldn't be looking for miracles.

The problem that Santorum will face is that he appears to be underperforming in the Detroit suburbs.
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Sam Spade
SamSpade
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« Reply #2 on: February 28, 2012, 09:04:30 PM »


Don't you find that Santorum is severely underperforming in many rural places?

Just got in.  The baseline is to compare Romney 2012 vs. Romney 2008.  Remember that Romney regularly got 30%-35% in a lot of the rural Michigan areas in 2008, so I wouldn't be looking for miracles.

The problem that Santorum will face is that he appears to be underperforming in the Detroit suburbs.

Another point: Santorum's turnout is terrible where he needs it to be good.  Goes to show you how crappy of a candidate he is.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #3 on: February 28, 2012, 09:08:39 PM »

I would like to see more Western Michigan, but I would advise betting on Romney right now.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #4 on: February 28, 2012, 09:13:29 PM »


Mitt got 35% there in 2008.  Don't see why that would change much.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #5 on: February 28, 2012, 09:19:00 PM »

Anyone have any idea what turnout is like this year compared to 2008 in Michigan so far?

It'll be around 2008 levels.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #6 on: February 28, 2012, 10:34:25 PM »

Rick did not do very well with all those blue or semi-blue  collar Catholics in Macomb, or for that matter Saginaw and Midland. Catholics are pretty consistently so far voting for the LDS Mittens, rather than the true blue Catholic Santorum.

Eh, I suspect it's more like deja vu in these areas.  In other words, Santorum lost to Mitt Romney's father tonight, much like he lost to Bob Casey's father in PA.
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Sam Spade
SamSpade
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« Reply #7 on: February 28, 2012, 11:47:31 PM »

I wonder if Mittens has a new speech writer. His victory speech was more lyrical than normal, with better "chord" changes. It was written by a rather talented pro. If a newbie, Mittens should keep him close.

Whatever, don't name who he is, because Mitt's team will fire him once that occurs.
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