MI-EPIC/MRA: Obama down 4, but Obama/Clinton beats McCain/Romney by 7

[Sam Spade]

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Clintonian action there. Those two numbers are the most interesting to me.

Macomb County is predictable because we all know what resides there in decently large numbers...

[Sam Spade]

Sam what do you think about that 73-22 number out of city of Detroit? 

What would be the MOE on that type of subsample.  Not to mention all of these subsamples. 

[Sam Spade]

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Clintonian action there. Those two numbers are the most interesting to me.

Macomb County is predictable because we all know what resides there in decently large numbers...

So as Macomb goes, so doesn't go Oakland County? Since Macomb is full of middle-class Catholic voters and Oakland is more demographically favorable to Obama, would it be fair to assume that McCain will either maintain or grow Bush's '04 victory margin in Macomb and Obama will either narrowly win or come close in Oakland?

Probably.  Especially if the race is close.  Macomb County should also be a place where race is a factor, which was what my first post hinted at.