...I expect a major recession, probably 2-3 years after this one. A Republican Congress by 2012 and a roll back of civil rights legislation. You will see affirmative action ended by 2014, if not before (and this if from someone who thinks it's appropriate in some cases).
Ok, several points about this bizarre post. Firstly, that is not how booms and busts in american capitalism work - the cycle takes typically 5-6 years. There is no reason for a 2-3 year cycle unless some very unusual outside impact occurs, like a war or so forth. Secondly, why would there be a 'rollback of civil rights legislation'? This isn't on anyone's agenda particularly, nor does it do much to benefit the Republican client or even to excite their dupes (yes, they hate a black, but even they don't believe in single-race washrooms). Lastly, affirmative action is ancient history and has been eliminated for many years, J.J.
We did have basically a 4 year cycle in 78-79 to 82-3.
Secondly, I think that if Obama is elected, you can make the argument that there is no need for most civil rights legislation. I could even see dramatic curtailment of welfare programs (though the welfare roles are more populated by white people). You'll see this type of rollback.
Affirmative action is still there (though quotas have become increasingly rare).
I would also see a diminishing role for the African American community in politics in general and in the Democratic Party in particular (the latter actually being a good thing).
