Senate Race Predictions. (user search)
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  Senate Race Predictions. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Senate Race Predictions.  (Read 15553 times)
Downwinder
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Posts: 313


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -6.43

« on: October 28, 2004, 09:32:31 PM »

AK:  A popular former governor versus an unpopular appointed senator?  I'll take Knowles by 3%, even with the state voting overwhelmingly for Bush.

CO:  They both have the name recognition, but Salazar has a record in government, and less baggage--CO soccer moms won't vote for a guy who supported lowering the drinking age.  He'll win by 2%, helped out by a surprising Kerry performance in CO.

FL:  A very close race, but I'll take Castor by 2%.  Party loyalty will mean more than ethnic background in this race.

GA:  Isakson, by about 15%.

IL:  Obama, by about 45%.

KY:  Bunning by 4%.  Had his mental problems surfaced a bit earlier, he would have lost.

LA:  John wins in the run-off.  Vitter gets about 44% on election day, but the Dem's unite behind John for the run-off.

NC:  Burr by 5%. 

OK:  Carson by <1%.  I'm probably most biased about this race though, since I think Coburn is such a douche bag, therefore, my vision is clouded.

SC:  Demint by 10%.

SD:  Daschle, also by <1%. 

Net gain of one for the Dems, resulting in a 50R-49D-1I Senate.
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