LA and NC 2014 Congressional Races

[ElectionsGuy]

Landrieu won tonight's debate, but it is too narrow of a win to produce any dramatic changes in the race.

From this, the polling, and the early voting statistics, I am revising my previous estimate of a 8-12 point Landrieu loss to a 14-18 point Landrieu loss

Is there a link to the debate? I would like to see it but can't find it anywhere.

[ElectionsGuy]

^ C-SPAN has it.

Thanks!

[ElectionsGuy]

Wow, that was a really nasty debate. I got annoyed at both of them. At least Landrieu can say she went down fighting like a champ, unlike others (Grimes, Pryor, etc.)

I also laughed out loud when she said she doubt that Cassidy will get elected.

[ElectionsGuy]

This might seem like a stupid question, but are there separate exit polls for the runoff?

[ElectionsGuy]

I think people are definitely wrong when they say black turnout goes down in midterms. It only went down slightly this time (nationwide) and it went up during this runoff, its fairly consistent. The obvious unavoidable problem that Landrieu had all along was the abandonment of the democratic party among whites (especially white Catholics). Even nationwide, the democrats have a problem of whites slowly shifting more Republican as the country gets more racially diverse.