When will New Jersey become competitive? (user search)
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  When will New Jersey become competitive? (search mode)
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Author Topic: When will New Jersey become competitive?  (Read 6136 times)
ElectionsGuy
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Posts: 21,102
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Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« on: February 21, 2015, 03:29:26 PM »

Is New Jersey trending Republican? After all, it is the richest state in America. Can the good showing with Asians and Hispanics in 2014 carry on to the next presidential elections? Discuss!
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #1 on: February 22, 2015, 02:19:03 PM »

Do you guys get it now? People on this sub board are asking when South Carolina, Georgia, Texas, Arizona, even Tennessee for crying out loud, will become competitive. We always think red states are trending blue, not the other way around. I wanted a state equally as ridiculous on the Democratic side to see the reaction, and as expected, nobody is buying it.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #2 on: February 24, 2015, 05:02:15 PM »

Do you guys get it now? People on this sub board are asking when South Carolina, Georgia, Texas, Arizona, even Tennessee for crying out loud, will become competitive. We always think red states are trending blue, not the other way around. I wanted a state equally as ridiculous on the Democratic side to see the reaction, and as expected, nobody is buying it.

A majority of people here said that South Carolina, Tennessee and Texas are going to be competitive states?  I don't believe you.  And, if someone incorrectly says that, does that mean the converse is true?  And also, congratulations, you've cracked the code, people are overly optimistic about the political party they support.  We all know that and it's incredibly tedious to whine about it.  Say something that actually matters, give a different theory and support it with evidence and arguments. 

Saying, "waahhhhh, you don't like my political party!  You're mean!!!"  It's just tedious and nobody cares. 

Just to state the facts, none of these states are competitive outside a landslide election.  If a Republican is close to winning NJ, they've already won.  If the electoral map shifts to make NJ competitive, Republicans will have a lock on the Presidency.  Same with Tennessee for the Dems.  These are just facts, it's not worth having an aspergers fit over this.

Why are you putting words in my mouth? I never said the majority of people here believed that, and I'm not "whining" about it as you imply. I'm trying to point out the unconscious biases here that many don't realize, using the "muh demographics" line as evidence a state will trend Democratic, so I simply did the opposite and see how people would react, that's all. Just a little experiment, no whining or having a "fit".

South Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas have either seen a Republican trend or no significant trend, and New Jersey has seen a slight Democratic trend. I understand if people legitimately want to find out when a state will become competitive or opposite of its current position, but then we should be asking it about all the states, not just red states. 
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