2016 Senate Ratings and Predictions

[ElectionsGuy]

Ohio: Toss-Up --> Lean R
Arizona: Toss-Up --> Lean R

9/1/16 Update

Pennsylvania: Toss-Up --> Lean D

[ElectionsGuy]

Florida: Toss-Up --> Lean R

Rubio is leading in every poll, even if its pretty close, and sometimes outside margin of error. I actually should've done this a week or two ago.

[ElectionsGuy]

IN*: Lean D --> Toss-Up
OH: Lean R --> Likely R
PA: Lean D --> Toss-Up

*As the state is strict on polling (yet another reason why the state is terrible) I have a feeling that there's not going to be many more polls between now and election day. Therefore I have to anticipate what's going to happen based on the fundamentals, and I think its going to end up super close in the end. Bayh's lead right now seems to be mostly based around name recognition and popularity from the past. If Young can convincingly connect him to Clinton, he can get the job done.

[ElectionsGuy]

GA: Likely R --> Safe R
IL: Lean D --> Likely D
NC: Lean R --> Toss-Up