Missouri 2016: Hillary Clinton down 3-4 points in internal polls (user search)
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  Missouri 2016: Hillary Clinton down 3-4 points in internal polls (search mode)
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Author Topic: Missouri 2016: Hillary Clinton down 3-4 points in internal polls  (Read 3446 times)
ElectionsGuy
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Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« on: June 30, 2015, 12:36:44 AM »

Missouri for Democrats is like Pennsylvania for Republicans: Ever so tempting, but just out of reach.

I would go even further, its like Oregon or Washington for Republicans.

This professor is out of her mind if she actually thinks its going to be a bellwether. It hasn't been a bellwether since the 90's.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #1 on: June 30, 2015, 01:54:13 AM »
« Edited: June 30, 2015, 01:56:00 AM by ElectionsGuy »

Hillary could contest this state. You guys act like this is Pennsylvania or Michigan for Republicans. Tongue


What's the difference?

Hillary can actually win here. Republican nominees have been trying for ages to win Pennsylvania and Michigan. Hasn't happened since their last landslide victory. Missouri, on the other hand, has been won by Democratic nominees in non-landslides, and nearly went for Obama in 2008. It was competitive in 2000 and 2004 as well. In my lifetime, Pennsylvania has never been competitive, despite the GOP thinking it is.

2012: Missouri - 9.4 R margin, Pennsylvania - 5.4 D margin, National - 3.9 D margin
2008: Missouri - 0.1 R margin, Pennsylvania - 10.3 D margin, National - 7.2 D margin
2004: Missouri - 7.2 R margin, Pennsylvania - 2.5 D margin, National - 2.4 R margin
2000: Missouri - 3.3 R margin, Pennsylvania - 4.2 D margin, National - 0.5 D margin

So what a minute, Pennsylvania has 'never been competitive', but Missouri was competitive even in 2000 and 2004? Are you blind to the actual results here, or are you just a Democratic hack? Not to mention Missouri's Republican trend.
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