Republican Wisconsin Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)

[ElectionsGuy]

Just got back from voting, my place was pretty packed even before rush hour.

[ElectionsGuy]

Something I noticed: Washington County, Cruz country, has less precincts than many other counties with less population than it, including Door, a county with 28,000 people (Washington has around 130,000).

[ElectionsGuy]

I crunched the numbers on the graphic Steve Kornacki showed on MSNBC just a minute ago. 42% of Cruz/Kasich voters say the candidate with the most votes should win in a convention, 83% of Trump supporters think the same, overall its 56%. If that's the case, then the anti-Trump vs Trump split is 66/34.

[ElectionsGuy]

This is part of the Donald Trump realignment in the Republican Party. Republicans (in Wisconsin, at least) are now more anti-free trade than Democrats.

[ElectionsGuy]

http://unitedmediapublishing.com/

I have a hard time seeing this as a credible source.

[ElectionsGuy]

http://unitedmediapublishing.com/

I have a hard time seeing this as a credible source.

Obviously, but let's see if Trump himself touches this in the coming week.  He could try to make throwing out WI's delegates the price of sustaining Rule 40 or extending it to multiple ballots for Cruz at the rules committee in Cleveland?

There's no doubt he'll bloat about it a lot after tonight's loss. I mean, for weeks he said thousands of Muslims cheered in New Jersey for 9/11.

[ElectionsGuy]

FOX said that Trump got 35% among women, but they didn't say the men's numbers.  That makes me a little more worried than I was an hour ago.

Maybe its wrong, but if its not then he's getting at least 40% with men, which isn't good for Cruz.

[ElectionsGuy]

Most of Waukesha in, its 61-22-15 Cruz!

[ElectionsGuy]

Racine coming in yuge for Cruz.

Saw that coming, the western part of the county is an extension of Waukesha.

[ElectionsGuy]

Trump leading in 46/72 counties (64%) despite losing by 14%.

[ElectionsGuy]

Turnout just crossed 2 million votes.

That's ca. 45% of the VAP and 47% of the VEP.

Amazing! Wisconsin is always really good with turnout, but this is still very impressive for a primary.

Turnout from the two ideological poles of Wisconsin, in WOW and Dane, are downright astonishing. 172K votes just from main candidates of both parties from Waukesha County, population 390K. On the other side, 231K votes from main candidates in Dane, population 524K.

[ElectionsGuy]

Great night, couldn't be more pleased with the results.

[ElectionsGuy]

I know this is days late, but I wanted to evaluate the impact of the Milwaukee area. First, just the surrounding three counties (WOW):

Cruz: 117,547 (61.2%)
Trump: 42,530 (22.1%)
Kasich: 28,173 (14.7%)
Other: 3,846 (2.0%)

Total: 192,096 (17.4% of total vote)

with Milwaukee County:

Cruz: 178,992 (58.6%)
Trump: 72,046 (23.6%)
Kasich: 47,344 (15.5%)
Other: 7,082 (2.3%)

Total: 305,464 (27.7% of total vote)

Wisconsin without Milwaukee area:

Cruz: 352,137 (44.3%)
Trump: 314,324 (39.5%)
Kasich: 107,856 (13.6%)
Other: 21,342 (2.7%)

Total: 795,659

[ElectionsGuy]

This was the R vs D turnout. I would do shades, but the NYT doesn't have an overall 'other' option on their results page and politico has them all listed out, and it would take forever to tally. Nonetheless, I tallied the important ones. Milwaukee was 63/37 D, Waukesha was 70/30 R, Dane was 70/30 D, Washington was 75/25 R, Ozaukee was 68/32 R. With the exception of Columbia County, this is actually the exact county map that won Scott Walker his re-election in 2014. The margin of R to D votes (52.3-47.7) is almost exactly what Rebecca Bradley won by as well.