2018 Senatorial Elections

[ElectionsGuy]

If Clinton wins

MA and VA may be dependent on special elections if Warren/Kaine are VP nominees, in which case the ratings may be different.

If Trump wins

[ElectionsGuy]

With the assumption that we go in with a 52 R, 48 D Senate:

With President Trump R+4 (56 R, 44 D):
Montana
North Dakota
Indiana
Missouri
West Virginia
Nevada

With President Clinton R+10 (62 R, 38 D):
Montana
North Dakota
Indiana
Missouri
West Virginia
Ohio
Florida
Virginia
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin

wew lad

Those are definitely realistic scenarios, I wouldn't underestimate how awful 2018 can be for Democrats after they nearly maxed out the class last time.

[ElectionsGuy]

Predictions

Net R+3 (-NV, +IN, MO, ND)

Ratings

Conclusion: Who really knows yet. This Trump midterm has the potential to be a disaster for Republicans but I don't think the Dems can pull off all of those overwhelmingly red states. Republicans are so lucky that this Senate class is up this year, there is much more potential for loss in the House.