Competitive House Predictions: AK-AL to CA-49

[ElectionsGuy]

How it works: As doing threads for every single house race would be tedious and unnecessary, I decided to do a prediction series for all competitive races. How do I determine competitive? I decided to go with three common political prognosticators (Sabato, Rothenberg, Cook) and any race that wasn't labeled safe in any/two/all of the sources I will go over. I'm putting a maximum of 10 races in each thread, letting each thread run for 4-5 days (we'll see how long it takes, I'm not sure of the exact number of races I'm going to cover given the way I'm doing this). I don't expect third parties to win any house races this cycle, so I'm keeping it simple and just putting in the Republican and Democrat. The first candidate listed is always either the incumbent or the person of the party currently holding the seat. I plan on posting a map at the end of the series, and like the presidential ratings and predictions thread, each previous thread will be linked in to each new thread. I signifies incumbency.

Non Safe Seats per Source

Sabato - 48
Rothenberg - 36
Cook - 56

My predictions

AK-AL: Young (R)
AZ-01: O'Halleran (D) - though this one is a complete toss-up imo
AZ-02: McSally (R)
CA-07: Bera (D)
CA-10: Denham (R)
CA-21: Valadao (R)
CA-24: Carbajal (D)
CA-25: Caforio (D)
CA-31: Aguilar (D)
CA-49: Issa (R)

Next batch should cover many in Florida and finish up California and Colorado.

[ElectionsGuy]

Something I didn't address: If a rating of a race changes and the race is no longer non-safe on any of the sources than I will just forget about those ones record wise.

Also it appears I forgot to put the (D) after Brian Caforio.

[ElectionsGuy]

Here's the full list of races that will be covered, 57 total as of now. Changing to 5 days instead of 4 and 6-7 races per thread instead of 10 from now on. Now that I've planned this out, I can post a map in each new thread.

September 18th

AK-AL AZ-01 AZ-02 CA-07 CA-10 CA-21 CA-24 CA-25 CA-31 CA-49

September 23rd

CA-52 CO-03 CO-06 FL-02 FL-07 FL-10 FL-13

September 28th

FL-18 FL-26 FL-27 IL-10 IL-12 IN-09 IA-01

October 3rd

IA-03 KS-03 ME-02 MD-06 MI-01 MI-07 MN-02

October 8th

MN-03 MN-08 MT-AL NE-02 NV-03 NV-04 NH-01

October 13th

NJ-05 NY-01 NY-03 NY-19 NY-21 NY-22 NY-23

October 18th

NY-24 NY-25 PA-06 PA-08 PA-16 TX-23

October 23rd

UT-04 VA-04 VA-05 VA-10 WA-08 WI-08

October 28th

One Week Notice

November 4th Midnight

Lock all threads

November 5th-7th

Results

[ElectionsGuy]

Reference for me

Safe R: 202
Safe D: 176