IL-We Ask America: Rauner (R) up 12

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

The numbers in this poll are all over the place.

Though I support Rauner, nothing seems very consistent here. For example, Rauner is outperforming Kirk in suburban Cook by 18 percentage points (winning 50-41 instead of Kirk losing by 9), and the gender gap is a whopping 14%. Those numbers are pretty crazy to me, even though I would like to believe that Rauner is outperforming Kirk in Chicago by 1% (it's a plausible number if Rauner will win, but the rest of the data makes me take this with a grain of salt). The overall result is also fairly plausible, but again, the rest of the data makes me wonder.


Actually, polling in Illinois so far this year has resulted in some really bizarre numbers (like when one pollster forgot to mention Rauner and Quinn's party affiliations and showed Rauner winning 57% of the black vote. They threw it out, redid it while mentioning party IDs, and got more "believable" numbers).


Is Illinois just a difficult state to poll? I want to see more.

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

Besides taxes, what other issues have both Rauner and Quinn been talking about?

Rauner is hitting Quinn with the crime prevention program scandal, the overall economic climate (unemployment, pension problems, businesses leaving,etc.), and Illinois' joke of an education system (also, Quinn cut $500M after promising not to), in addition to the raising taxes issue (which Quinn also said he wouldn't do).

Quinn is hitting back by saying Rauner is too rich to understand inequality (plus, minimum wage), would be the next Scott Walker, and is associated with poorly run nursing homes in Florida. Quinn is also making a pathetic foray into identity politics with the gay community and the obviously monolithic "women voters". Quinn also says Rauner isn't being specific enough.

It's a typical nasty, depressing Illinois race.