Why does everyone now think Bush will win the nomination?

[eric82oslo]

It just reminds people that he is the front runner, that he has all the money, all the consultants, and all the advantages that come with that. Bush in the same position as Romney in 2012; he just appears to be a much weaker candidate, which makes this whole thing interesting.

I don't think he's weaker actually, he just has three times as many competitors.
Don't forget that Romney wanted to selfdeport illegal latinos. Jeb doesn't even want to selfdeport his own wife or kids, nor repudiate his own knowledge of Spanish lol.

Jeb might have issues with his surname, yet Romney had issues with his Mormon faith (and bullying a gay kid at high school).

[eric82oslo]

Yes, I don't accept the premise of the OP, and those who think who think they know at this point who the probable nominee will be are just foolish and/or naive and/or uninformed in my opinion. Among other things, how these candidates perform under pressure will perhaps be the most important factor of all, and as to that we can merely just speculate, and like anyone, sometimes you just get unlucky and have a bad moment, and just screw up. So luck plays its part too.

If you're talking about Rick Perry now, there's an easy answer to that: His IQ is just not very high. In many ways, he's the Texan answer to Sarah Palin. Just because he's the longest serving Governor in Texas' history, doesn't mean that he's smart, or that he has any shots at the nomination.