Nate Silver: Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Some of Silver's points are valid, but this idea that Trump's support is a giant bubble that just has to burst at some point is quite discredited. Remember this is a candidate who is mocked by the media and talking heads all the time, people should be if anything embarrassed to support him, he's not the source of bandwagon support to be cool. And yes, his "real" numbers in Iowa are clearly just something he pulled out of his ass. Also he makes the argument that no candidate like Trump has ever won a major nomination before (true) and then says in the footnote that there's even stronger precedent for Cruz or Sanders, comparing them to Barry Goldwater and George McGovern? WTF? Cruz as Goldwater I can see but anyone who knows anything about McGovern knows that he was nothing like Sanders...Howard Dean 2004 might work as a comparison, but Sanders?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Will Nate Silver ever be taken seriously again?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

The reason everyone dumps on him is he's supposed to only analyze the numbers and not provide mainstream pundit style #analysis. But he did the latter this year.

If he had stuck to the same number crunching as in the past and actually pointed out why Trump was not comparable to Michele Bachmann or Herman Cain (which was pretty obvious even before 2015 ended) and just did what he always did and crunched the numbers he'd be looking pretty good right now.