Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Minnesota (user search)
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  Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Minnesota (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Rate Minnesota and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D
 
#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Toss-Up
 
#5
Lean R
 
#6
Likely R
 
#7
Safe R
 
#8
Clinton
 
#9
Trump
 
#10
Other
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 123

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Author Topic: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Minnesota  (Read 4065 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,472
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« on: August 25, 2016, 10:23:35 PM »


Obama in 2008 won the state by only 11%, and Hillary won't surpass that performance; stop this nonsense.


Trump is going to get crushed with the growing Hmong and Somali populations. Just ask BRTD.

There are an estimated 25k Somalis in Minnesota (of which I'd wager at least half can't vote) and about 66k Hmong (of which more can vote but still less than most people), so really neither is going to be a big factor. Actually most of Minnesota's minority growth is African-Americans and Hispanics.

Still Minnesota is now a 17% non-white state, which means probably about 55% of the white vote is needed for a Republican to win it. Not hard in some states, but hard here...especially for Trump of all people. Like can you see Trump breaking 40% in Edina? And can you imagine a Republican winning Minnesota while performing like that? (Oh btw there was a leaked DCCC poll that showed Trump down by over 20 points in MN-03...now an R+2 seat)
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