Your prediction of SC reaction to the CO disqualifying Trump ruling?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Seeing as how it was a 4-3 decision on a 7-0 D court, it wouldn't shock me if SCOTUS was unanimous striking it down although the liberals would likely dissent on the reasoning. My guess is the median decision written by Roberts or Kavanaugh basically states its Congress' responsibility to define "insurrection", Thomas and Alito writing some weird logic that says Trump didn't do anything wrong, Gorsuch probably relying on that "the President is not an officer of the United States" pedantry, ACB joining one of the conservative opinions and the liberals concurring and dissenting stating that Trump can't be barred just because he hasn't been convicted.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Not sure how the Supreme Court could resolve this on standing. Article III is not a barrier to standing in state court and the Constitution, of course, still applies there.

Unsure how any "Republican voter" is harmed by the decision of the RNC to run any candidate. Bascially there is a reason they had "Republican voters" file this suit.

But yes this would be two part

1. State Courts can't do this at all
2. Only the Attorney General(or a specific set off officials) can bring enforcement action - otherwise the proper forum is the same for ruling individuals ineligible for Congress. Congress

The Supreme Court cannot allow this to ever happen again. I am almost certain their number one priority will be killing Section III, not anything to do with Donald Trump. What is going on right now is an existential threat to the court system and it is obvious from the behavior of the 5th Circuit and everyone's favorite Texas district judge that the claims "its self evident this only applies to 1961 AND Jan 6th, 2021" will not stop the court from having to kill it later if not now.

Seriously, if Trump's disqualification stands what about any senior officials who took part in efforts to overturn the election? What about Senators who voted for the challenges? Mike Lee who was in discussions?

Is the Speaker of the House, third in line for the Presidency, ineligible?

There is no way to restrict this to Donald Trump and therefore any ruling pretty much has to ensure no court will try to disqualify anyone under Section III going forward for Jan 6th.

There's a pretty easy way for the court to handle this sort of thing without gutting Section III completely.

Congress has already defined "insurrection" under 18 USC § 2383. One of the penalties even outlined in this statute is disqualification from office.

So the court can simply rule that if someone is convicted under 18 USC § 2383, they are disqualified for public office. If they are not, then it doesn't apply. Pretty simple and binary.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Not sure how the Supreme Court could resolve this on standing. Article III is not a barrier to standing in state court and the Constitution, of course, still applies there.

Unsure how any "Republican voter" is harmed by the decision of the RNC to run any candidate. Bascially there is a reason they had "Republican voters" file this suit.

But yes this would be two part

1. State Courts can't do this at all
2. Only the Attorney General(or a specific set off officials) can bring enforcement action - otherwise the proper forum is the same for ruling individuals ineligible for Congress. Congress

The Supreme Court cannot allow this to ever happen again. I am almost certain their number one priority will be killing Section III, not anything to do with Donald Trump. What is going on right now is an existential threat to the court system and it is obvious from the behavior of the 5th Circuit and everyone's favorite Texas district judge that the claims "its self evident this only applies to 1961 AND Jan 6th, 2021" will not stop the court from having to kill it later if not now.

Seriously, if Trump's disqualification stands what about any senior officials who took part in efforts to overturn the election? What about Senators who voted for the challenges? Mike Lee who was in discussions?

Is the Speaker of the House, third in line for the Presidency, ineligible?

There is no way to restrict this to Donald Trump and therefore any ruling pretty much has to ensure no court will try to disqualify anyone under Section III going forward for Jan 6th.

There's a pretty easy way for the court to handle this sort of thing without gutting Section III completely.

Congress has already defined "insurrection" under 18 USC § 2383. One of the penalties even outlined in this statute is disqualification from office.

So the court can simply rule that if someone is convicted under 18 USC § 2383, they are disqualified for public office. If they are not, then it doesn't apply. Pretty simple and binary.

Well except that if you read 18 USC  § 2383 it attaches a specific criminal penalty to “insurrection” but doesn’t actually do anything to define that term. So even if a candidate was convicted by a jury of that statute, we’d still end up back at SCOTUS on a sufficiency of the evidence challenge where SCOTUS would have to tell us what the elements of the offense of “Insurrection” are.

Perhaps, but it's still an easy way to punt on the question for the time being which is probably enough for them.