bump. I've been looking hard at the precinct data and Minnick's chances are looking increasingly dire to me. Minnick's strengths, oddly enough, were in rural areas, working class areas. The ultra conservative suburbs/exburbs of Coeur d' Alene and Post Falls(I haven't looked at Boise/Nampa in detail as much yet but I'm guessing it's the same) really didn't vote for Minnick any more than they voted for Obama. It is the working class, backwoods areas that were especially strong for Minnick.
That's not surprising at all. That sort of thing usually happens when you have crazy Republicans, it's the suburbs/exurbs that are more partisan to vote for them, while the the rural areas, even if generally conservative, can get embarassed. It's the reason Michele Bachmann can survive in a district that only voted 53% for McCain.
