Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog

[TX Conservative Dem]

Mitch Landrieu will likely wait to see how the GOP field settles, but I doubt Vitter really wants to give up that DC money in the United States Senate for a job in Baton Rouge that only limits you to 8 years.

I do NOT see anyone breaking Edwin Edwards' 16-year record anytime soon.

Now on Kip Holden running for Lieutenant Governor: good luck with that because I seriously do NOT see it happening for obvious factors:
1. No African American has won executive statewide office in LA ever.
2. Racially-divisive politics
3. If Holden emerged as the only Democrat running for LG, white Conservative Democrats would bolt to the GOP candidates

[TX Conservative Dem]

So in other words, the LA Dems will have to wait until when to get the governorship back ?
A. 2019
B. 2023

I mean the drought is gonna end sooner or later.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Guillory will have to run for a down-ballot statewide office, that is an OPEN seat and he'll have to get backing from the powerful pols in Baton Rouge IF he seeks higher office.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Anyone know if the LA Supreme Court judges are elected statewide or not ?

I know here in Texas, we've had several people of color elected to statewide office
1. Ted Cruz (R)-US Senator

2. Wallace Jefferson (R)-TX Supreme Court Chief Justice (appointed to the TX SC in 2001 and elected in 2002 and re-elected in 2006 and 2008)

3. Dale Wainwright (R) elected to TX Supreme Court, Place 7 in 2002 and re-elected in 2008, but resigned mid-term last year.

4. Michael Williams (R) appointed to the TX Railroad Commission by then-Gov. Bush upon the resignation of Carole Keeton Strayhorn, who was elected Comptroller; Williams easily won special election of unexpired term in 2000 and re-elected in 2002 and 2008, resigned in spring of 2011 to seek unsuccessful bid for US House seat in 2012. Now serving as TX Education Commissioner.

5. Tony Garza (R) elected to the TX Railroad Commission in 1998, served until his resignation in 2003 to become U.S. Ambassador to Mexico.

6. Morris Overstreet (D) elected to the TX Court of Criminal Appeals in 1990 and re-elected to six-year term in 1992. First African American elected to statewide office with his election.

7. Dan Morales (D), elected TX State Attorney General in 1990 and re-elected in 1994, did not seek reelection in 1998 due to FBI investigating corruption allegations (which Morales went to prison for taking $$$ with associates in Big Tobacco incident).

8. David Medina (R), appointed to the TX Supreme Court, Place 4 by Governor Perry in 2004 and elected to full term in 2006, but lost reelection bid in GOP runoff in 2012.

9. Victor G. Carrillo (R), appointed to replace Garza on TX Railroad Commission by Governor Perry in 2003 and overwhelmingly elected to full six-year term in 2004, but lost reelection in landslide margin during the GOP primary in 2010.

10. Eva Guzman (R), appointed to the TX Supreme Court by Governor Perry in October 2009 and elected to full term in 2010.

11. Elsa Acala (R), appointed to TX Court of Criminal Appeals in 2011, and elected to six year term in 2012.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Both Mary and Mitch Landrieu have won 7 out of 8 statewide elections in between them (Mary as State Treasurer in 1987, 1991; United States Senator in 1996, 2002, 2008 & Mitch as Lieutenant Governor in 2003, 2007).

I would not be shocked if Mitch goes for the governorship, because he's the LA Dems' ONLY shot at taking back the Governor's Mansion after 8 years of Jindal.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Landrieu running for US Senate in 2016 ?

He's going for the governorship either in 2015 or 2019.

Vitter may or may not run, who knows.

Jindal: his political career is all but over forever. Only way he gets relevant again, if the GOP wins the WH in 2016 and he gets a cabinet spot.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Vitter being governor would later result in positioning a run for the White House down the road because he can't control his political ego and it's addictive.

He's the Chad Harris-Crane (see NBC's Passions) of Louisiana politics.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Louisiana voters would get exactly what they deserved if they want Vitter.

On the down-ballot statewide offices, I expect GOP sweep in 2015 and Mitch Landrieu could run, but would he want to risk losing in 2015 ?

[TX Conservative Dem]

So in other words, Landrieu won't run in 2015 and likely to run in 2019 right

[TX Conservative Dem]

I understand that. Landrieu is likely to wait until 2019, because folks will be sick of Vitter by then.

Vitter bored in the Senate is no surprise : what if the Republicans win back the U. S. Senate in 2014 ? Vitter could get a chairmanship

[TX Conservative Dem]

So in other words, expect another Republican sweep of statewide offices in 2015. Isn't the Louisiana Supreme Court elected statewide as well?

[TX Conservative Dem]

With the current situation of the Louisiana Democrats, it's going to be 15-20 years before they come back to power in the Pelican State again.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Wow. I guess the Louisiana Democrats might as well pack up their bags and move to Colorado

[TX Conservative Dem]

So I guess the rural white Dems are pissed off over the 1964 Civil Rights Act, Voting Rights Act of 1965 and school desegregation in Louisiana

[TX Conservative Dem]

Is Guillory going to run for higher office down the road?

[TX Conservative Dem]

Which statewide office do you see Guillory running for and winning ?

[TX Conservative Dem]

Anyone know what Jindal's approval ratings are ?

[TX Conservative Dem]

Vitter has this in the bag

[TX Conservative Dem]

When's the filing deadline in Louisiana?

[TX Conservative Dem]

I'm betting Mitch Landrieu waits until 2019 to run for the governorship

[TX Conservative Dem]

When Louisiana Governors are sworn into office, do they still get the 19-gun salute and flyovers following the oath of office or before the ceremony?

[TX Conservative Dem]

Jindal's still unpopular?

How did that happen?

[TX Conservative Dem]

I've also heard most of the legislators have been ignoring Jindal lately since he's a lame duck

[TX Conservative Dem]

I would tend to think Mitch wait until 2019.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Landrieu won't run for the governorship, so the Louisiana Democrats will have to pick an unknown person.

What's this development I've been hearing on New Orleans moving their mayoral election to 2017 from 2018 ?