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Author Topic: MO-2nd  (Read 1072 times)
YPestis25
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,376


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -6.09

« on: April 26, 2016, 12:44:15 AM »
« edited: April 26, 2016, 12:53:10 AM by YPestis25 »

Mainly posting because Missouri might have it's first vaguely competitive district since 2010. So after redistricting in 2010, the Missouri 2nd district gave up much of the very conservative St. Charles County, and is now mainly limited to St. Louis county, as well as bits of St. Charles, Jefferson, and according to ballotpedia Franklin and Warren counties.

Old District
 

New District

This year it looks like Democratic State Representative Bill Otto will go up against incumbent Republican Ann Wagner. Interestingly, despite Wagner blowing her opponent out of the water in 2014, the total Democratic and Republican vote in the primary in 2014 was almost the same. 

I highly doubt this will be competitive come November, but given that St. Louis and St. Charles counties were some of Trump's weakest wins in Missouri, and with his nomination looking increasingly likely, could we see the 2nd District become competitive if 2016 turns into a blowout for the Democrats?
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YPestis25
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,376


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -6.09

« Reply #1 on: April 26, 2016, 10:36:47 AM »
« Edited: April 26, 2016, 10:42:23 AM by YPestis25 »

Yeah, y'all are probably right. I think I let my wishful thinking get a bit ahead of itself there. Interestingly, despite doing so poorly in St. Louis and St. Charles counties, he beat Cruz by almost 11 in Jefferson. Not sure if that means much, since most of Jefferson is in districts 3 and 8 which are Safe Republican no matter how you look at it. I guess a guy can dream.
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