NJ-3: Adler Announces Against Saxton

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Adler will be able to raise the kind of money needed to stay competitive with Saxton, you watch. As per the State Legislature races mentioned above in Mr. Moderate's post, it is possible more money will be raised for them then in Congressional races, but lets understand that it is not usually the candidate that is paying for the ads it usually is the Senate Majority PAC or something along those lines. If you look at Ellen Karchers new reelect ad for State Senate you will notice it is payed for by the Senate Democratic Majority.

[MAS117]

According to PoliticsNJ,
Adler will be at a Rangel Sponsored "meet and greet" this wednesday along with 6 other House Candidates.

That is correct. Let the fundraising begin!

[MAS117]

According to PoliticsNJ,
Adler will be at a Rangel Sponsored "meet and greet" this wednesday along with 6 other House Candidates.

That is correct. Let the fundraising begin!

It had better—Saxton started his fundraising years ago!

Saxton has yet to say that he is definitely even running for reelection. He could decide a very hard campaign isn't worth being in the minority for and getting passed up yet AGAIN for another good committee post. In that case I would tip the scale to tossup for an Adler v. Allen race. However, I think Saxton will run.

[MAS117]

According to PoliticsNJ,
Adler will be at a Rangel Sponsored "meet and greet" this wednesday along with 6 other House Candidates.

That is correct. Let the fundraising begin!

It had better—Saxton started his fundraising years ago!

Saxton has yet to say that he is definitely even running for reelection. He could decide a very hard campaign isn't worth being in the minority for and getting passed up yet AGAIN for another good committee post. In that case I would tip the scale to tossup for an Adler v. Allen race. However, I think Saxton will run.

Saxton ran for and won his seat just to serve in the minority.  I'd be very surprised if Saxton retired out of fear of a "hard" campaign, especially considering that Adler is not especially favored to win by any measure.

And I'd say that Diane Allen would have a definite advantage in a Adler v. Allen race.  After all, her legislative district is the equivalent of, what, D+10?  D+15?  It's the result of highly favorable name recognition from her time as a Philly anchorwoman—she just waltzed into the State Assembly in a heavily Democratic District in a not-so-friendly year for NJ Republicans (1995), and then easily picked up the State Senate seat two years later.

Not to mention that Diane Allen runs just as well in her heavily Democratic State Senate district (+20.6%) as Adler does in his own heavily Democratic State Senate district (+22.0%).

In this case, "Top Priority" means "Second Priority."  Notice the absence of the real top tier congressional challengers like Linda Stender.  John Unger?  Gary Trauner?  Christine Jennings?  Pffft, good luck.

I disagree if Saxton was to retire and Allen ran I would put the race into the tossup category. If for some reason Allen were to retire or not run again I think you would see that district possibly swing D if the right person ran.

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I disagree if Saxton was to retire and Allen ran I would put the race into the tossup category. If for some reason Allen were to retire or not run again I think you would see that district possibly swing D if the right person ran.

If you're talking about her State Senate district, there's no chance in hell Republicans could hold it without her.

Yes, I was referring to her State Senate seat.