What are the chances Hillary Clinton wins the white vote in 2016?

[IceSpear]

Only if the GOP nominates a horrible candidate like Cruz, Carson, etc.

[IceSpear]

Clinton got about 39 percent of white voters in 1992, and 43 percent in 1996.

Hillary Clinton would have to significantly outperform two people who still managed to become President in order for this to happen. It seems very unlikely.

That's a bit misleading though due to the presence of Perot. Bill definitely would've cracked 45% in 1996 if Perot wasn't on the ballot.

But yeah, this would only be plausible if the Republicans nominated a real whackjob. And even then, they would probably still narrowly win whites.

[IceSpear]

Only if the GOP nominates a horrible candidate like Cruz, Carson, etc.

What if the GOP nominated a horrible minority candidate (Carson, Cain etc.)? Where would the racist vote go?

Racist voters would probably either sit out the election or vote for the Constitution Party or another right-wing third-party.

I doubt it. Racist voters have no problem voting for a non white person, provided that the non white person throws their own race under the bus at every available opportunity.