I pretty much agree with you overall. Kansas has really thrown a wrench into things, and since Alaska polls are crap it is hard to judge that race as well.
Solid GOP: MT/WV/SD
Competitive, R favored: AR/LA/KY/GA
Competitive, D favored: CO/IA/NC/MI
Big question marks: AK/KS
Iowa is pure Tossup. I can see why many would say it's D favored, but certainly not on the same level as Colorado and Michigan.
Yeah, I agree, I was deliberately excluding "toss up" in that post for the sake of simplicity and was trying to make as few categories as possible.
