Your opinion of this "reality-check" by Chris Ladd? (user search)
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  Your opinion of this "reality-check" by Chris Ladd? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Chris Ladd...
#1
is completely right.
 
#2
is wrong and too partisan.
 
#3
is only partially right, he doesn't take other important factors into account.
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 41

Author Topic: Your opinion of this "reality-check" by Chris Ladd?  (Read 4230 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: December 27, 2014, 07:17:18 PM »

Pretending that Virginia represents a victory for the Dems this year when they were running the most popular Virginia politician against a no-hoper lobbyist, and they won after a tense recount, is just ridiculous.

The Republicans nearly won Virginia with very little effort. If any politician besides Warner had been the candidate, they would have.

I can see both sides of this honestly. On one hand, what you said is correct. On the other hand, if Republicans were going to win in Virginia, wouldn't it have been in this extremely low turnout Republican wave when Dems were caught napping?
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: December 27, 2014, 07:42:39 PM »

As for the article, it's pretty silly. It turns the Democrats' very real electoral college advantage into a fait accompli, which is obviously not the case. It's pretty ludicrous to suggest that Martin O'Malley or Bernie Sanders would immediately have states like Virginia or Pennsylvania "on lockdown". It's also nonsensical to include VA in the "Democratic base" but not include GA in the "Republican base".

That said, if you take out all the definitive statements and lousy projection, the writer has a few good points. Even in this wave, the Republicans didn't come close to solving either their demographic problem or their electoral college problem. This bodes well for Democrats in 2016, who already have a strong candidate waiting in the wings.
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