Do First Exit Polls Normally Overstate Sanders Support? (user search)
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  Do First Exit Polls Normally Overstate Sanders Support? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Do First Exit Polls Normally Overstate Sanders Support?  (Read 1457 times)
IceSpear
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« on: April 26, 2016, 03:33:21 PM »
« edited: April 26, 2016, 03:36:29 PM by IceSpear »

Not always, but more often than not.

Overstated Hillary: Iowa, New Hampshire, Oklahoma
Overstated Bernie: Nevada, South Carolina, Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Massachusetts, Tennessee, Texas, Mississippi, Ohio, New York

The rest were about right (within 5 points by my definition) or had no exit poll.

Aside from Massachusetts, it looks like the exit pollsters have a hard time polling minorities.
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