10/31 Zogby, WP, Fox/OD Tied, BOT Bush+1, TIPP Bush+5, Movement??

[alcaeus]

      Averaging all the polls doesn't work.   The only way to do it is to take a poll or two as one's own and go with it.

      They're using competing methods.  The pollsters who are way off when the vote is counted get egg on their face and a worsening reputation.   The pollsters are in for profit.  They want to be right, because the ones who are will sell more of their services.

     The high number of pollsters in this election is an example of a new hot product that is getting tested in the marketplace.   The big test is the Presidential Election.  A few elections from now most of these pollsters will be out of the business of Presidential Elections.

      So the only sensible approach to the polls is to choose one as your product, based on the credibility you give its methods.