Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)

[Matty]

Surprised more people aren't posting in this thread right now.

[Matty]

Hoping people keep the results in context. A D+15 swing for instance is hard for me to take as a "bad result." That being said, it saddens me that the GOP can pull off upsets like Scott Brown in Mass. and not the Dems.

to be fair, massachusetts has a decent chunk of "business" republicans who are more than willing to vote against democrats when they have a decent republican to vote for.

[Matty]

ew last batch was rough.

what is the current lead for estes?

[Matty]

only the trolls are gloating, whoever knows anything about this stuff is quite serious.

Special elections are special. Turnout was by all accounts abysmal.

Also, what is happening in kansas is NOT happening in other states. The state is in the midst of a finance crisis, with the guy running today directly tied to it.

All politics is local.

Remember kansas during the 2014 national gop wave?

[Matty]

All things considered, this was a pretty good result for the blue team. It's not necessarily indicative of anything by itself, though. If, however, Democrats win GA-06 and MT-AL (or win one and come very close in the other), then you could probably make the argument that this is part of a larger pattern, and that there's a massive anti-Trump backlash brewing.

The issue, of course, is that even ni 2014  kansas was embarrassingly close for the republicans.

The bigger issue, also, is that a lot can happen till 2018, especially with all these war drums.

[Matty]

Do people forget kansas 2014?

This state should not be considered any sort of microcosm.

GA-6 far more interesting.

[Matty]

Think of it this way - this is like if Republicans gave Democrats a run for their money in Maryland's 8th district, currently represented by Flawless Beautiful Curly Haired Jaime Raskin.

If maryland currently had a historic budget deficit that forced closures at schools and credit ratings to get heavily downgraded, while also having anemic economic growth, a very liberal republican could end up doing decent against someone directly tied to the mess.

[Matty]

Estes ends up losing Sedgwick County by just 414 votes in the final unofficial tally.

what is that % wise?

[Matty]

Where are you guys following results?

[Matty]

Why are people assuming brooks and all the other voters wil switch to Moore in runoff?

[Matty]

Luther Strange seemed to to better in the suburbs than polls had indicated.

[Matty]

If I am Luther Strange I do not like any of these numbers whatsoever.

Too early to tell

Barely anything in from big cities

[Matty]

This looks horrible for Strange, should be a very early night.

Way too earthly to tell

[Matty]

Margin is narrowing a bit

[Matty]

How are the candidates doing in their benchmarks?

[Matty]

Moore is up 19 points in limestone county with 90% in

What were benchmarks there?