Cook Report moves GA Senate race to "Toss Up" (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 09, 2024, 06:23:50 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Cook Report moves GA Senate race to "Toss Up" (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Cook Report moves GA Senate race to "Toss Up"  (Read 8148 times)
Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,710
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

« on: March 26, 2014, 11:30:03 PM »
« edited: March 26, 2014, 11:35:24 PM by Joshua »

If Broun or Gingrey win, this race would easily shift to Likely Dem, and Michelle Nunn would probably end up a shoo-in

As much as I'd love to think that, I don't think that will ever be a reality. Georgia could be the Indiana of 2012, and Joe Donnelly only won by five-ish points. Georgia's too red for any Dem to be a "shoo-in."

You might cite McCaskill's 16 point win in 2012 Missouri, but I think it's slightly different than 2014 Georgia because they had an incumbent running in a state where it's actually possible for Democrats to win statewide. Unless you're Evan Bayh in Indiana, no Democrats typically win statewide there or GA.

I could also see Georgia as more receptive to a Libertarian candidate, but that will only work to make the path to 50%+1 for Nunn more difficult. If it goes to a runoff, she's toast.
Logged
Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,710
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

« Reply #1 on: March 27, 2014, 03:12:02 PM »

Still, I think any of these Republicans can win, simply because we have run-offs. Nunn has a damn good shot of winning a plurality against any of them, but like I said, she needs to beat the Republican by at least 3 if she wants to actually win.
When did they start doing run-offs? Didn't Max Cleland win with a plurality in the 90's, why didn't that go to a run-off?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.02 seconds with 12 queries.