Early 2016 Senate Ratings

[SWE]

Alabama --> safe R
Alaska --> safe R
Arizona --> leans R
Arkansas --> safe R
California --> safe D
Colorado --> leans D
Connecticut --> safe D
Florida --> tossup
Georgia --> safe R
Hawaii --> safe D
Idaho --> safe R
Illinois --> leans D
Indiana --> likely R
Iowa --> likely R
Kansas --> safe R
Kentucky --> safe r
Louisiana --> safe R
Maryland --> safe D
Missouri --> leans R
Nevada --> tossup
New Hampshire --> tossup
New York --> safe D
North Carolina --> leans R
North Dakota --> safe R
Ohio --> leans r
Oklahoma --> safe R
Oregon --> safe D
Pennsylvania --> tossup
South Carolina --> safe R
South Dakota --> safe R
Utah --> safe R
Vermont --> safe D
Washington --> safe D
Wisconsin --> tossup

[SWE]

Seriously, it's too early.

It's never too early for political analysis!

[SWE]

Ohio - Tossup

Um... no.

I think your also underrating Ayotte and Rubio. They should at least start with some advantage now that they're incumbents. Their approvals are constant and there in states that go either way

I agree, Ayotte's approvals have been constantly underwater

[SWE]

Alabama - Safe R
Alaska - Likely R
Arizona - Tossup (Lean D if McCain runs, Lean R if he retires)
Arkansas - Likely R
California - Safe D
Colorado - Likely D
Connecticut - Safe D
Florida - Likely R
Georgia - Likely R
Hawaii - Safe D
Idaho - Safe R
Illinois - Tossup/Tilt D
Indiana - Safe R
Iowa - Likely R
Kansas - Safe R
Kentucky - Likely R
Louisiana - Safe R
Maryland - Safe D
Missouri - Likely R
Nevada - Toss-up with Sandoval, Lean D anyone else
New Hampshire - Toss-up/Tilt D
New York - Safe D
North Carolina - Lean R
North Dakota - Safe R
Ohio - Lean R
Oklahoma - Safe R
Oregon - Safe D
Pennsylvania - Lean R
South Carolina - Safe R
South Dakota - Safe R
Utah - Likely R
Vermont - Safe D
Washington - Safe D
Wisconsin - Lean D with Feingold, Tossup with Kind