UK General Election - May 7th 2015

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so does the French "terrorist attack" open some space for UKIP?

Nigel Farage: 'people holding our passports that hate us'

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again, ignorant newbie here: the most likely scenario is a Conservative-UKIP-(LD) coalition gov't?  is Labour-SNP coalition gov't possible?

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ok, a quick look at the odds suggests the number for the Cons is in the high 280s.  UKIP only 4/5.  SNP 43.5.

could it be that SNP will hold all the cards, if both Labour and Cons. are within 45 seats of 326?

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again, ignorant newbie here: the most likely scenario is a Conservative-UKIP-(LD) coalition gov't?  is Labour-SNP coalition gov't possible?

No, the most likely outcome (if the election was held today, etc) would be Labour minority with tactical support from the SNP (and Plaid).

a popular betting site has the Cons.  over/under at about 285, with the Labour over/under at around 270.  why is Labour minority considered a favorite (it's not just you, the bettors have Labour minority as a small favorite over Conservative minority), is there a piece to this I'm missing?