Potential UK General Election Late 2016 / Early 2017

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The question is, who will be the leaders. Cameron is gone, Corbyn is facing a major rebellion, which he isn ot looking very likely to survive. Hopefully, replacements will emerge fast.

Really hoping for a LibDem resurgence.

Johnson or Gove/McDonnell will be the leaders, I'm nearly certain

[Vega]

The question is, who will be the leaders. Cameron is gone, Corbyn is facing a major rebellion, which he isn ot looking very likely to survive. Hopefully, replacements will emerge fast.

Really hoping for a LibDem resurgence.

Johnson or Gove/McDonnell will be the leaders, I'm nearly certain

I would think Theresa May should not be discarded.

By all accounts, the parliamentary party really isn't all that enamored with her. Her being relatively quiet during the referendum also hasn't done her wonders.

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I still find it funny to think that the Conservative Party is leading in ethnic diversity.

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If there is a General Election (and this is not even close to being certain!) it will take place towards the end of the year or perhaps towards the start of the next one. A lot will have happened between now and then. There is no way of telling what the polls will look like by that point, particularly as we don't even know who will be leading the various parties and on what sort of platforms they will be running. Therefore confident speculation about that is just silly.

Winter elections are generally bad for turnout, aren't they?

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ICM poll published today (July 26th)
Con 43%, Lab 27%, UKIP 13%, Lib Dem 8%, SNP 4%, Green 4%, Others 1%

Forecast House of Commons: Con 375, Lab 194, SNP 45, NI Seats 18, Lib Dem 12, Plaid 4, Green 1, UKIP 1 (Con maj of 100)

I have to imagine this is a honeymoon bump for for May.  I am surprised how well the UKIP polling numbers are holding up.

I don't think that UKIP will be able to take another election where they get 12-13% and don't get more than 1 MP.