US unemployment rate decreases from 6.3% to 6.1% in July 2014 (user search)
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  US unemployment rate decreases from 6.3% to 6.1% in July 2014 (search mode)
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Author Topic: US unemployment rate decreases from 6.3% to 6.1% in July 2014  (Read 9166 times)
AggregateDemand
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Posts: 1,873
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« on: July 04, 2014, 12:36:42 AM »

The fluctuations are driven by marginally attached employment and discouraged workers, as well as part-time growth in the new 29 hour economy. Poverty-rates and unemployment rates for the youngs are still at all-time highs, and GDP growth is still below the federal deficit.

The numbers are better than numbers moving in the other direction, but this economy still has another decade of recovery ahead at this rate.
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AggregateDemand
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Posts: 1,873
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2014, 11:09:15 AM »

Good read. I forgot about the Real GDP aspect. For secret inflation to be real, our economy would be in it's 26th consecutive year of 4+% shrinkage. We'd be living in post-apocalyptic times.

Instead we have the internet and smartphones.

The article is nothing more than modeling confirmation bias and nonsensical political rambling. Hyper-inflation has not occurred since QE; therefore, people feel at liberty to invent any number of stupid reasons as to why inflation didn't occur. This particular author argues that inflation didn't happen because inflation-truthers are inherently wrong. My mind was almost blown by the complexity of his inept ad hominem argument.

There is no denying the over-valuation of the US dollar. We've been printing money and running huge trade deficits for over a decade. Foreign-exchange reserves in China, Japan, and the EU are propping up the dollar, and the real inflation-truthers have been hawking gold quite successfully for over a decade.

We are walking the ridge of a roof. A rapidly expanding economy, may have catalyzed a clumsy sell-off of USD as central bankers moved to reduce foreign exchange exposure. Continued economic contraction during QE, might have facilitated a USD sell-off, which literally would have led to a new Weimar Republic in the US. I see no reason to criticize people who believed that our absurdly tepid economic recovery would have caused the latter to happen.

For the record, I believed Obama and Congress were not so inept as to cause Weimar 2.0, but their incompetence has caused me to question my position on several occasions. If the recovery continues at such a slow pace, we won't be out of the woods for another decade, either. We should not be celebrating.
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AggregateDemand
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,873
United States


« Reply #2 on: July 18, 2014, 04:24:00 PM »

Only problem with your theory is that you're wrong.

Do you know anything about foreign exchange reserves and the currency rebalancing agreement that Greenspan/Bernanke forced with the People's Bank of China in 2005? If not, you really shouldn't be making comments.

If this recovery had been any more sluggish, ponderous or stagnant than it has been, or if the US had gone into an sharp double-dip, the possibility of USD sell-off would have been real. The situation was so dire from 2008-2010 that Democrats forced fracking through the EPA (harvesting black gold for the treasury) and Republicans happily endorsed CAFE regulations (reduce trade deficit). Of course, neither party stopped publicly criticizing either policy.

We've taken one step back from the edge of abyss. We are not remotely close to a functional economy at this point.
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AggregateDemand
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,873
United States


« Reply #3 on: July 18, 2014, 06:32:42 PM »

I've become more convinced that AggregateDemand is simply a bot hooked up to a database of conservative buzzwords and talking points. This explains why it's impervious to facts and rational thought.

GDP growth is lower than the marginal growth-rate of public debt. The most indebted generation in American history is on the hook for the biggest unfunded pension/healthcare liability in American history. There are reasons to be optimistic about the future, but if you don't understand the precariousness of our current situation, you need to pay attention.

People were complaining about the economy in 2006, during Bush's second term. We have 2% more unemployment and we've doubled the national debt, since then.
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AggregateDemand
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,873
United States


« Reply #4 on: July 27, 2014, 09:02:03 PM »

What do our "unfunded pension/healthcare liabilities" have to do with the unemployment rate?

Our pension system is funded with payroll taxes. I'm assuming you can figure it out from there.
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